Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Auda Riga vs FK Liepaja

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Hrvoj T. In: Aranda S.
Out: Hrvoj T.
62'
Patijcuks D.
64'
Sub
Mushindi I. In: Rodolphe E.
Out: Mushindi I.

AI Match Summary

The Virsliga game between FK Auda Riga and FK Liepaja finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Auda Riga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
FK Auda Riga
20%
Draws
35%
FK Liepaja
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Liepaja haven't matched FK Auda Riga's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FK Auda Riga a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FK Auda Riga have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 20%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Auda Riga FK Liepaja
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.73 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs FK Liepaja
1:0
Jul 11, 2026 Latvian Cup
FK Auda Riga vs FK Liepaja
1:0
May 22, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs FK Liepaja
3:1
Apr 8, 2026 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs FK Auda Riga
1:2
Oct 20, 2025 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs FK Liepaja
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Auda Riga Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FK Liepaja Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 49 / 100
FK Liepaja 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Auda Riga FK Liepaja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Auda Riga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Auda Riga scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

FK Liepaja has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

FK Auda Riga has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FK Auda Riga VS FK Liepaja
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Auda Riga

(Home)
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
25 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
FK Liepaja
21 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 0
Tukums 2000
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FK Liepaja

(Away)
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
31 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 2
Riga FC
25 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
FK Liepaja
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
09 Aug
Super Nova
1 : 2
FK Liepaja
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 28 22 4 2 68:20 70
2 Riga FC 28 20 6 2 82:28 66
3 FK Auda Riga 28 17 5 6 45:27 56
4 FK Liepaja 29 12 5 12 39:41 41
5 BFC Daugavpils 29 10 8 11 34:33 38
6 Super Nova 27 9 5 13 28:38 32
7 Jelgava 29 8 7 14 32:48 31
8 Grobina 29 5 9 15 20:51 24
9 Tukums 2000 29 5 8 16 43:59 23
10 Ogre United 28 3 5 20 27:73 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)