Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Auda Riga vs FK Liepaja

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions
Sun, Jul 19, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Auda Riga host FK Liepaja in the Virsliga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. FK Auda Riga have averaged 1 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against FK Liepaja's 1.38 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor FK Auda Riga slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.06, favoring FK Auda Riga. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FK Auda Riga
30%
Draws
34%
FK Liepaja
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Liepaja haven't matched FK Auda Riga's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FK Auda Riga a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 20%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Auda Riga FK Liepaja
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Latvian Cup
FK Auda Riga vs FK Liepaja
1:0
May 22, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs FK Liepaja
3:1
Apr 8, 2026 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs FK Auda Riga
1:2
Oct 20, 2025 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs FK Liepaja
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs FK Auda Riga
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 36 / 100
FK Liepaja 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Auda Riga FK Liepaja

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Auda Riga scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

FK Liepaja has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

FK Auda Riga has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Auda Riga VS FK Liepaja
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1RFS22182254:1656
2Riga FC22174165:1955
3FK Auda Riga22124637:2640
4FK Liepaja22841028:3428
5BFC Daugavpils2276925:2927
6Jelgava2267924:3825
7Super Nova22731223:3524
8Grobina22481015:3320
9Tukums 200022381137:4417
10Ogre United22341521:5513