Sport Picks

Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions

FK Auda Riga

3 - 1

FK Liepaja

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Sorokins V.

22'

Vergara J.

Assist: Daskevics E.

32'

Martins M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Auda Riga in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Auda Riga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

FK Auda Riga

40%

Draws

29%

FK Liepaja

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

FK Auda Riga has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FK Liepaja.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Virsliga provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 20%

FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Auda Riga	FK Liepaja
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	13	11
Draws	7	5
Losses	10	13
Goals Scored	1.25	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Virsliga

FK Auda Riga vs FK Liepaja

Possession: 57% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Apr 8, 2026 Virsliga

FK Liepaja vs FK Auda Riga

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

1:2

Oct 20, 2025 Virsliga

FK Auda Riga vs FK Liepaja

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Jul 27, 2025 Virsliga

FK Liepaja vs FK Auda Riga

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

May 24, 2025 Virsliga

FK Liepaja vs FK Auda Riga

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 1 - 0

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Auda Riga Compare

Top Goalscorer Vergara J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Kone K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

FK Liepaja Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 32 / 100

FK Liepaja 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Auda Riga FK Liepaja

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Auda Riga scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

FK Liepaja let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

FK Auda Riga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Liepaja lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Auda Riga VS FK Liepaja

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	RFS	22	18	2	2	54:16	56
2	Riga FC	22	17	4	1	65:19	55
3	FK Auda Riga	22	12	4	6	37:26	40
4	FK Liepaja	22	8	4	10	28:34	28
5	BFC Daugavpils	22	7	6	9	25:29	27
6	Jelgava	22	6	7	9	24:38	25
7	Super Nova	22	7	3	12	23:35	24
8	Grobina	22	4	8	10	15:33	20
9	Tukums 2000	22	3	8	11	37:44	17
10	Ogre United	22	3	4	15	21:55	13