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FK Auda Riga vs Grobina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Dodo In: Puzirevskis A.
Out: Dodo
19'
Ibrahim H.
41'
Puzirevskis A.

AI Match Summary

The Virsliga game between FK Auda Riga and Grobina finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Auda Riga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
FK Auda Riga
35%
Draws
20%
Grobina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Auda Riga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FK Auda Riga are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FK Auda Riga here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 20%
Grobina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Auda Riga Grobina
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 4
Draws 7 10
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.67 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Grobina
1:0
Aug 17, 2026 Latvian Cup
FK Auda Riga vs Grobina
3:2
Jun 25, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs FK Auda Riga
0:0
May 7, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Grobina
7:0
Mar 14, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs FK Auda Riga
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 58 / 100
Grobina 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Auda Riga Grobina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Auda Riga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Auda Riga found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

FK Auda Riga went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Grobina has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FK Auda Riga VS Grobina
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Auda Riga

(Home)
12 Oct
FK Liepaja
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
Page 1 of 6

Grobina

(Away)
10 Oct
Super Nova
2 : 1
Grobina
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 31 24 5 2 75:24 77
2 Riga FC 32 23 7 2 88:30 76
3 FK Auda Riga 32 19 7 6 52:32 64
4 FK Liepaja 32 12 7 13 43:46 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 32 11 9 12 37:36 42
6 Super Nova 31 11 5 15 31:41 38
7 Jelgava 32 8 8 16 34:53 32
8 Grobina 32 5 11 16 22:54 26
9 Tukums 2000 32 5 9 18 44:63 24
10 Ogre United 32 4 6 22 31:78 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)