Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Auda Riga vs Grobina

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions, Riga
Sun, Sep 6, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Auda Riga host Grobina in the Virsliga. FK Auda Riga are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: FK Auda Riga at 1.77 goals for, 1.1 against; Grobina at 0.76 for, 1.83 against. Past meetings favor FK Auda Riga slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 17, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (2.19 - 1.19) back FK Auda Riga to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
FK Auda Riga
15%
Draws
7%
Grobina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Auda Riga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FK Auda Riga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 20%
Grobina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Auda Riga Grobina
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 5
Draws 4 9
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.77 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Latvian Cup
FK Auda Riga vs Grobina
3:2
Jun 25, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs FK Auda Riga
0:0
May 7, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Grobina
7:0
Mar 14, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs FK Auda Riga
0:2
Nov 9, 2025 Virsliga
Grobina vs FK Auda Riga
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 85 / 100
Grobina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Auda Riga Grobina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Auda Riga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Auda Riga scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Grobina let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

FK Auda Riga has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Auda Riga VS Grobina
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Auda Riga

(Home)
25 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
FK Liepaja
21 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 0
Tukums 2000
17 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 2
Grobina
13 Aug
Dinamo City
4 : 0
FK Auda Riga
09 Aug
Jelgava
0 : 1
FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 6

Grobina

(Away)
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
17 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 2
Grobina
10 Aug
RFS
6 : 1
Grobina
02 Aug
Riga FC
4 : 0
Grobina
27 Jul
Grobina
2 : 2
Ogre United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 26 21 3 2 65:20 66
2 Riga FC 26 20 5 1 79:24 65
3 FK Auda Riga 26 16 4 6 43:26 52
4 BFC Daugavpils 27 10 7 10 33:31 37
5 FK Liepaja 27 11 4 12 36:39 37
6 Jelgava 27 7 7 13 28:46 28
7 Super Nova 25 8 4 13 26:37 28
8 Grobina 27 4 9 14 19:50 21
9 Tukums 2000 27 4 8 15 40:54 20
10 Ogre United 26 3 5 18 26:68 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)