Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Auda Riga vs Riga FC

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Badamosi M.
31'
Kragliks R.
45' Event
Badamosi M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Riga FC in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Riga FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FK Auda Riga
35%
Draws
32%
Riga FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Riga FC have won more games recently than FK Auda Riga.
  • Model gives FK Auda Riga a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Riga FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 12%
Riga FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Auda Riga Riga FC
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 19 26
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 2
Goals Scored 1.66 2.51
Goals Conceded 1.09 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs FK Auda Riga
2:2
Jun 29, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Riga FC
0:2
May 12, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs FK Auda Riga
4:1
Mar 20, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Riga FC
1:2
Feb 17, 2026 Super Cup
Riga FC vs FK Auda Riga
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Auda Riga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Riga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Badamosi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 40 / 100
Riga FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Auda Riga Riga FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Auda Riga's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: FK Auda Riga stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Riga FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Auda Riga VS Riga FC
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Auda Riga

(Home)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
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Riga FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)