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FK Auda Riga vs Zibens Zemessardze

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1. Liga 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Auda Riga play Zibens Zemessardze in the 1. Liga 2007. It looks like a close match. Recently, FK Auda Riga averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Zibens Zemessardze averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, FK Auda Riga won 3, Zibens Zemessardze won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 16, 2008 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for FK Auda Riga and 1.06 for Zibens Zemessardze. This points to a FK Auda Riga double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
FK Auda Riga
25%
Draws
33%
Zibens Zemessardze
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Auda Riga picked up more points recently compared to Zibens Zemessardze.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 22%
Zibens Zemessardze Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Auda Riga Zibens Zemessardze
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.6 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2008 Nakotnes liga
Zibens Zemessardze vs FK Auda Riga
3:3
May 11, 2008 Nakotnes liga
FK Auda Riga vs Zibens Zemessardze
3:0
Sep 9, 2007 Nakotnes liga
FK Auda Riga vs Zibens Zemessardze
3:1
Aug 29, 2007 Nakotnes liga
Zibens Zemessardze vs FK Auda Riga
0:5
Oct 22, 2006 Nakotnes liga
FK Auda Riga vs Zibens Zemessardze
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 42 / 100
Zibens Zemessardze 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Auda Riga Zibens Zemessardze

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FK Auda Riga or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Auda Riga attacking → ← attacking Zibens Zemessardze

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Auda Riga scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Zibens Zemessardze let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

FK Auda Riga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Zibens Zemessardze lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 44
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00