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FK Babrungas vs BE1 NFA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Borja P.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between FK Babrungas and BE1 NFA finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Babrungas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
FK Babrungas
15%
Draws
51%
BE1 NFA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BE1 NFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Babrungas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on BE1 NFA taking it.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 18%
BE1 NFA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Babrungas BE1 NFA
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 17
Draws 4 2
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.69
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs BE1 NFA
1:0
Aug 8, 2025 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs BE1 NFA
4:0
Apr 4, 2025 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs FK Babrungas
1:2
Oct 30, 2024 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs BE1 NFA
0:0
May 24, 2024 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs FK Babrungas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Babrungas Compare

Top Goalscorer Borja P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

BE1 NFA Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Babrungas 20 / 100
BE1 NFA 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Babrungas BE1 NFA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BE1 NFA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Babrungas scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

BE1 NFA has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FK Babrungas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Babrungas VS BE1 NFA
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Babrungas

(Home)
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2
FK Atmosfera
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
21 Aug
FK Babrungas
1 : 1
Tauras Taurage
Page 1 of 6

BE1 NFA

(Away)
18 Sept
BE1 NFA
2 : 1
Transinvest 2
14 Sept
Siauliai 2
0 : 2
BE1 NFA
04 Sept
BE1 NFA
1 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
29 Aug
Ekranas
0 : 5
BE1 NFA
21 Aug
BE1 NFA
2 : 0
Garliava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 25 11 7 7 35:25 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Garliava 25 8 4 13 31:28 28
11 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 25 7 1 17 23:43 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)