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FK Babrungas vs Palanga

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Myazin A.
68' Event
Myazin A.
71' Event
Myazin A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Palanga advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FK Babrungas
20%
Draws
33%
Palanga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Babrungas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Babrungas come out ahead of Palanga on wins alone.
  • Model gives FK Babrungas a 47% chance of winning this.
  • FK Babrungas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Palanga, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 20%
Palanga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Babrungas Palanga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 8
Draws 4 1
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 1.83 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.83 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2019 Lithuanian Cup
FK Babrungas vs Palanga
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Babrungas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Palanga Compare

Top Goalscorer Myazin A.
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Babrungas 85 / 100
Palanga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Babrungas Palanga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Babrungas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Babrungas scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Palanga conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FK Babrungas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Babrungas VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Babrungas

(Home)
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2
FK Atmosfera
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
21 Aug
FK Babrungas
1 : 1
Tauras Taurage
Page 1 of 6

Palanga

(Away)
09 Nov
Palanga
2 : 2
Banga
03 Nov
Banga
2 : 0
Palanga
26 Oct
Atlantas
0 : 1
Palanga
12 Oct
Palanga
0 : 4
Suduva
05 Oct
FC Stumbras
0 : 3
Palanga
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Suduva 3
Ekranas 2
Dainava Alytus 3
Marijampole City (Inactive) 4
FA Siauliai 2
FK Kedainiai 1
FC Hegelmann 0
FK Panevezys 4
Nevezis Kedainiai 3
FC Pakruojis 1
Marijampole City 0
FK Sveikata Kybartai 1
FC Stumbras 2
SSPC FSK Radviliskis 1
Atlantas 0
Zalgiris 2
Palanga 1
Ateitis Vilnius 0
Gelezinis Vilkas 0
FK Babrungas 4
Vilniaus Vytis 3
Viltis Vilnius 2
Navigatoriai Vilnius 1
Dziugas Telsiai 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Riteriai 1
Kupiskis 0
FK Minija 1
Spartakas Vilnius 5
Kaisiadorys 4
Tera Vilnius 0
Banga 2
1/8-finals
Suduva 4
Marijampole City (Inactive) 1
FA Siauliai 1
FK Panevezys 6
Nevezis Kedainiai 1
FK Sveikata Kybartai 0
FC Stumbras 0
Zalgiris 3
Palanga 4
FK Babrungas 0
Vilniaus Vytis 1
Dziugas Telsiai 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
FK Minija 1
Spartakas Vilnius 0
Banga 3
Quarter-finals
Suduva 1
FK Panevezys 0
Nevezis Kedainiai 1
Zalgiris 5
Palanga 2
Dziugas Telsiai 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Banga 3
Semi-finals
Suduva 4
Zalgiris 2
Palanga 0
Banga 2
Final
Suduva 4
Banga 0