Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Baku vs ANSAD Neftcala

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2015/2016 Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ANSAD Neftcala in this First Division 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored ANSAD Neftcala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
FK Baku
6%
Draws
90%
ANSAD Neftcala
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: ANSAD Neftcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • ANSAD Neftcala have won more games recently than FK Baku.
  • ANSAD Neftcala are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First Division 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
FK Baku Clean Sheet 10%
ANSAD Neftcala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Baku ANSAD Neftcala
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 22
Draws 4 2
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.25 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2016 I Liqa
FK Baku vs ANSAD Neftcala
1:4
Sep 17, 2015 I Liqa
ANSAD Neftcala vs FK Baku
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Baku 10 / 100
ANSAD Neftcala 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Baku ANSAD Neftcala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

FK Baku scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

FK Baku went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

ANSAD Neftcala let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Baku VS ANSAD Neftcala
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Baku

(Home)
12 May
Sharurspor
0 : 2
FK Baku
06 May
FK Baku
3 : 0
Bakili Baku
30 Apr
Mingachevir
3 : 1
FK Baku
22 Apr
FK Baku
1 : 1
Goyazan Qazax
15 Apr
FK Baku
4 : 0
Imisli FK
Page 1 of 6

ANSAD Neftcala

(Away)
13 May
ANSAD Neftcala
10 : 0
Mingachevir
06 May
Imisli FK
0 : 1
ANSAD Neftcala
29 Apr
ANSAD Neftcala
5 : 2
Agsu (Inactive)
22 Apr
Sahdag Qusar
4 : 3
ANSAD Neftcala
15 Apr
ANSAD Neftcala
3 : 1
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ANSAD Neftcala26202474:2062
2Lokbatan26184459:2858
3Agsu (Inactive)26138546:2947
4MOIK Baku26145753:2447
5Shamkir26108830:2438
6Zaqatala PFK2699847:3636
7Turan261061035:3136
8Imisli FK26881028:2632
9FK Baku26931433:4230
10Bakili Baku26861234:4630
11Sahdag Qusar26861231:5430
12Sharurspor26841445:4428
13Goyazan Qazax26381517:4217
14Mingachevir26431914:10015
Promotion - Premier League 2016/2017 (Main)