Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Baku vs Standard Sumqayit

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup 2009/2010 Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku
FK Baku Logo

FK Baku

1 - 1
FT
Standard Sumqayit Logo

Standard Sumqayit

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FK Baku
20%
Draws
33%
Standard Sumqayit
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Baku come out ahead of Standard Sumqayit on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • FK Baku have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FK Baku Clean Sheet 15%
Standard Sumqayit Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Baku Standard Sumqayit
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.24 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2010 Azerbaijan Cup
Standard Sumqayit vs FK Baku
1:3
Mar 6, 2010 Azerbaijan Cup
FK Baku vs Standard Sumqayit
1:1
Dec 5, 2009 Premier League
Standard Sumqayit vs FK Baku
3:4
Sep 23, 2009 Premier League
FK Baku vs Standard Sumqayit
0:0
Apr 11, 2009 Premier League
Standard Sumqayit vs FK Baku
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Baku 35 / 100
Standard Sumqayit 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Baku Standard Sumqayit

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Standard Sumqayit Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

FK Baku scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Standard Sumqayit has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: FK Baku stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Baku VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Baku

(Home)
12 May
Sharurspor
0 : 2
FK Baku
06 May
FK Baku
3 : 0
Bakili Baku
30 Apr
Mingachevir
3 : 1
FK Baku
22 Apr
FK Baku
1 : 1
Goyazan Qazax
15 Apr
FK Baku
4 : 0
Imisli FK
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Standard Sumqayit

(Away)
16 May
Zaqatala PFK
0 : 4
Standard Sumqayit
09 May
Standard Sumqayit
6 : 0
Karvan
01 May
Standard Sumqayit
0 : 2
Salyan
23 Apr
Turan
0 : 0
Standard Sumqayit
18 Apr
Standard Sumqayit
0 : 1
Shuvalan
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
FK Baku -
TBD -
Imisli FK 2
Bakili Baku 5
Turan -
TBD -
TBD -
Standard Sumqayit -
Neftci Baku -
TBD -
MOIK Baku 2
Lokbatan 3
Karvan -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamakhi -
Shuvalan -
TBD -
TBD -
Gabala -
Kapaz 3
Ravan 1
TBD -
Zaqatala PFK -
Qarabag Agdam -
TBD -
ANSAD Neftcala 3
Sahdag Qusar 4
Salyan -
TBD -
TBD -
Khazar Lenkoran -
1/8-finals
FK Baku 6
Bakili Baku 0
Turan 1
Standard Sumqayit 3
Neftci Baku 7
Lokbatan 0
Karvan 2
Shamakhi 7
Shuvalan 2
Gabala 1
Kapaz 0
Zaqatala PFK 3
Qarabag Agdam 4
Sahdag Qusar 0
Salyan 1
Khazar Lenkoran 4
Quarter-finals
FK Baku 4
Standard Sumqayit 2
Neftci Baku 1
Shamakhi 5
Shuvalan 1
Zaqatala PFK 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
Khazar Lenkoran 2
Semi-finals
FK Baku 3
Shamakhi 2
Shuvalan 2
Khazar Lenkoran 3
Final
FK Baku 2
Khazar Lenkoran 1