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FK Beograd vs Adelaide Comets

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Frank Mitchell Park, Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Boselli L.
22' Event
Dorsi J.
53' Event
Niyonkuru F.

AI Match Summary

The NPL South Australia game between FK Beograd and Adelaide Comets finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Beograd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
FK Beograd
15%
Draws
59%
Adelaide Comets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adelaide Comets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Adelaide Comets haven't matched FK Beograd's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Adelaide Comets's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
FK Beograd Clean Sheet 20%
Adelaide Comets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Beograd Adelaide Comets
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.74 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Comets vs FK Beograd
1:0
May 2, 2026 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Adelaide Comets
3:1
Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Adelaide Comets vs FK Beograd
2:3
Jul 28, 2025 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Adelaide Comets
2:2
May 2, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Comets vs FK Beograd
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Beograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Boselli L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Niyonkuru F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Adelaide Comets Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorsi J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Beograd 12 / 100
Adelaide Comets 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Beograd Adelaide Comets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adelaide Comets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Comets let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

FK Beograd found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: FK Beograd stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Beograd VS Adelaide Comets
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Beograd

(Home)
22 Aug
Playford Patriots
3 : 0
FK Beograd
15 Aug
FK Beograd
0 : 3
Adelaide City
07 Aug
Campbelltown City
2 : 0
FK Beograd
01 Aug
FK Beograd
4 : 3
Croydon
25 Jul
Adelaide Comets
1 : 0
FK Beograd
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Adelaide Comets

(Away)
15 Aug
Para
2 : 5
Adelaide Comets
11 Aug
Sturt Lions FC
0 : 0
Adelaide Comets
07 Aug
Adelaide Comets
0 : 1
MetroStars
25 Jul
Adelaide Comets
1 : 0
FK Beograd
17 Jul
Campbelltown City
1 : 0
Adelaide Comets
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide City 22 14 6 2 44:16 48
2 West Torrens Birkalla 22 14 3 5 54:29 45
3 MetroStars 22 13 5 4 53:23 44
4 Playford Patriots 22 10 5 7 42:31 35
5 FK Beograd 22 10 3 9 35:30 33
6 Croydon 22 8 6 8 46:41 30
7 Adelaide Utd U23 22 7 8 7 33:32 29
8 Campbelltown City 22 8 5 9 35:36 29
9 Sturt Lions FC 22 8 3 11 35:36 27
10 West Adelaide 22 6 7 9 40:44 25
11 Adelaide Comets 22 5 5 12 25:38 20
12 Para 22 0 2 20 16:102 2
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)