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FK Beograd vs Adelaide Comets

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Frank Mitchell Park
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Boselli L.
22' Event
Dorsi J.
53' Event
Niyonkuru F.

AI Match Summary

The NPL South Australia game between FK Beograd and Adelaide Comets finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Beograd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FK Beograd
6%
Draws
4%
Adelaide Comets
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Beograd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Adelaide Comets haven't matched FK Beograd's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FK Beograd's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
FK Beograd Clean Sheet 19%
Adelaide Comets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Beograd Adelaide Comets
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Adelaide Comets
3:1
Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Adelaide Comets vs FK Beograd
2:3
Jul 28, 2025 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Adelaide Comets
2:2
May 2, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Comets vs FK Beograd
1:2
Jun 22, 2024 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Comets vs FK Beograd
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Beograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Boselli L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Niyonkuru F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Adelaide Comets Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorsi J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Beograd 85 / 100
Adelaide Comets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Beograd Adelaide Comets

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Beograd scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Adelaide Comets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: FK Beograd stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Beograd VS Adelaide Comets
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1MetroStars18114348:1937
2West Torrens Birkalla18113445:2636
3Adelaide City18106235:1636
4FK Beograd1893631:2130
5Playford Patriots1885536:2629
6Croydon1884640:3228
7Adelaide Utd U231867524:2425
8Sturt Lions FC18711030:3022
9Campbelltown City1864828:2922
10West Adelaide1847733:3419
11Adelaide Comets18341119:3513
12Para1802169:862