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Stadium Background

FK Beograd vs West Adelaide

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Frank Mitchell Park, Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Atkinson D.

AI Match Summary

FK Beograd in this NPL South Australia matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Beograd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FK Beograd
6%
Draws
4%
West Adelaide
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Beograd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Beograd have won more games recently than West Adelaide.
  • FK Beograd are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FK Beograd Clean Sheet 16%
West Adelaide Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Beograd West Adelaide
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2 2
Goals Conceded 1 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs West Adelaide
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs FK Beograd
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 Club Friendly
West Adelaide vs FK Beograd
1:1
Jun 16, 2023 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs West Adelaide
3:1
Apr 1, 2023 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs FK Beograd
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Beograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Atkinson D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

West Adelaide Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Beograd 84 / 100
West Adelaide 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Beograd West Adelaide

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Beograd scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

West Adelaide has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

FK Beograd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Beograd VS West Adelaide
2 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Beograd

(Home)
19 Jul
FK Beograd
0 : 2
Adelaide Utd U23
15 Jul
FK Beograd
2 : 3
North Sunshine Eagles
04 Jul
FK Beograd
1 : 0
West Adelaide
27 Jun
Playford Patriots
0 : 1
FK Beograd
20 Jun
FK Beograd
2 : 0
West Torrens Birkalla
Page 1 of 6

West Adelaide

(Away)
18 Jul
West Adelaide
0 : 0
Sturt Lions FC
04 Jul
FK Beograd
1 : 0
West Adelaide
27 Jun
Campbelltown City
0 : 0
West Adelaide
20 Jun
West Adelaide
5 : 5
Croydon
12 Jun
Adelaide Comets
3 : 2
West Adelaide
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1MetroStars18114348:1937
2West Torrens Birkalla18113445:2636
3Adelaide City18106235:1636
4FK Beograd1893631:2130
5Playford Patriots1885536:2629
6Croydon1884640:3228
7Adelaide Utd U231867524:2425
8Sturt Lions FC18711030:3022
9Campbelltown City1864828:2922
10West Adelaide1847733:3419
11Adelaide Comets18341119:3513
12Para1802169:862
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)