Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Lerona Rita in this Latvian Cup 2013/2014 tie, finishing 3-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
25%
35%
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: FK Carnikava
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lerona Rita lately — more wins on the board than FK Carnikava.
- 35% — that's where the model lands on Lerona Rita taking it.
- Lerona Rita arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Lerona Rita, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 100%
Over 4.5 Goals 45%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
FK Carnikava Clean Sheet 10%
Lerona Rita Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Carnikava | Lerona Rita |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 2 | 2 |
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 5.5 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.75 | 4.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 22, 2013 Latvian Cup
FK Carnikava vs Lerona Rita
3:6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FK Carnikava 26 / 100
Lerona Rita 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FK Carnikava Lerona Rita
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lerona Rita Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: FK Carnikava scored in 100% of their last 2 outings.
Lerona Rita has conceded goals in 100% of their last 2 outings.
Historical meetings average 9.00 goals per match.
Lerona Rita lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FK Carnikava VS Lerona Rita
3.5 Goals Scored 4.5
5.5 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
FK Carnikava
(Home) 20 Jun
FK Carnikava
4 : 5 Rinuzi
22 Jun
FK Carnikava
3 : 6 Lerona Rita
20 Jun
FK Carnikava
4 : 5 Rinuzi
22 Jun
FK Carnikava
3 : 6 Lerona Rita
Lerona Rita
(Away) 07 Jul
BFC Daugavpils
5 : 3 Lerona Rita
22 Jun
FK Carnikava
3 : 6 Lerona Rita
07 Jul
BFC Daugavpils
5 : 3 Lerona Rita
22 Jun
FK Carnikava
3 : 6 Lerona Rita
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
Rinuzi -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
Riga United 0
FK Olaine 4
Dinamo Riga 2
Kuldigas NSS 0
TBD -
Gulbene -
FC Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Marienburg 1
FK Dobele 3
Preilu BJSS 3
FK Smiltene 1
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
FK Carnikava 3
Lerona Rita 6
Grobina 2
Ozolnieki 0
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
Saldus -
DSVK Traktors -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Ilukste -
Alberts JDFS 2
Plavinas 1
TBD -
Vilki/Marupe -
Upesciems 2
Kalupe 0
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
1/16-finals
Jelgava 6
Rinuzi 1
FK Auda Riga 0
Valmiera 2
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
FK Olaine 0
Dinamo Riga 1
Gulbene 4
FC Jurmala 1
Rezekne 0
Jekabpils SC 0
Tukums 2000 1
Spartaks Jurmala 3
FK Dobele 0
Preilu BJSS 2
FK Liepaja 11
Skonto 8
FK Alberts 1
FK Metta 0
RFS 1
BFC Daugavpils 5
Lerona Rita 3
Grobina 0
FK Daugava Riga 8
Ventspils 6
Saldus 0
DSVK Traktors 0
FK Ilukste 8
Alberts JDFS 3
Vilki/Marupe 0
Upesciems 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
1/8-finals
Jelgava 3
Valmiera 1
FK 1625 Liepaja 2
Gulbene 3
FC Jurmala 5
Tukums 2000 0
Spartaks Jurmala 2
FK Liepaja 4
Skonto 5
RFS 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Daugava Riga 3
Ventspils 3
FK Ilukste 0
Alberts JDFS 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
Quarter-finals
Jelgava 2
Gulbene 0
FC Jurmala 1
FK Liepaja 2
Skonto 2
FK Daugava Riga 1
Ventspils 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 2
Semi-finals
Jelgava 1
FK Liepaja 0
Skonto 4
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
Final
Jelgava 1
Skonto 0
