Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Ceska Lipa vs Varnsdorf

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. CFL - Group B 2025/2026 Novy Bor Football Stadium, Novy Bor
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Kovbasa A.
21'
Ondracek A.
41' Event
Kouril M.

AI Match Summary

The 3. CFL - Group B 2025/2026 game between FK Ceska Lipa and Varnsdorf finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Ceska Lipa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FK Ceska Lipa
20%
Draws
40%
Varnsdorf
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varnsdorf come out ahead of FK Ceska Lipa on wins alone.
  • Model gives FK Ceska Lipa a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FK Ceska Lipa Clean Sheet 10%
Varnsdorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Ceska Lipa Varnsdorf
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 16 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.37 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Varnsdorf vs FK Ceska Lipa
0:6
May 30, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
FK Ceska Lipa vs Varnsdorf
4:2
Nov 2, 2025 3. CFL - Group B
Varnsdorf vs FK Ceska Lipa
0:5
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
FK Ceska Lipa vs Varnsdorf
0:0
Feb 24, 2024 Club Friendly
FK Ceska Lipa vs Varnsdorf
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Ceska Lipa Compare

Top Goalscorer Liska T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kouril M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Varnsdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berezka D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Ceska Lipa 40 / 100
Varnsdorf 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Ceska Lipa Varnsdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Ceska Lipa's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FK Ceska Lipa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Varnsdorf conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FK Ceska Lipa VS Varnsdorf
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Ceska Lipa

(Home)
18 Sept
Opava
2 : 1
FK Ceska Lipa
12 Sept
FK Ceska Lipa
0 : 0
Prostejov
04 Sept
Jihlava
2 : 0
FK Ceska Lipa
29 Aug
FK Ceska Lipa
2 : 1
Vlasim
23 Aug
Ostrava B
0 : 1
FK Ceska Lipa
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Varnsdorf

(Away)
20 Sept
Varnsdorf
0 : 2
Jablonec B
16 Sept
Varnsdorf
1 : 5
Slavia Prague
12 Sept
Zapy
4 : 4
Varnsdorf
06 Sept
Varnsdorf
3 : 1
Velke Hamry
29 Aug
Neratovice
1 : 2
Varnsdorf
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Ceska Lipa 32 29 1 2 86:24 88
2 Zapy 32 23 5 4 72:27 74
3 Banik Most-Sous 32 20 4 8 60:34 64
4 Hradec Kralove B 32 19 4 9 70:47 61
5 Teplice B 32 14 8 10 46:42 50
6 Benatky n. Jiz. 32 12 8 12 59:54 44
7 Pardubice B 32 12 7 13 69:57 43
8 Jablonec B 32 11 6 15 49:62 39
9 Mlada Boleslav B 32 10 8 14 39:50 38
10 Liberec B 32 10 7 15 72:64 37
11 Varnsdorf 32 10 7 15 46:65 37
12 Neratovice 32 9 9 14 44:66 36
13 Brozany 32 8 10 14 38:58 34
14 Velke Hamry 32 7 10 15 45:57 31
15 Usti nad Orlici 32 7 10 15 35:55 31
16 Velvary 32 7 4 21 46:82 25
17 Kolin 32 4 12 16 36:68 24
Promotion - 3. CFL - Play Offs (Main)