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FK Daugava Riga vs FC Daugava Daugavpils

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Virslīga 2014
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kozlov D.
49' Event
Kozlov D.
69' Event
Kosmacovs J.

AI Match Summary

The Virslīga 2014 game between FK Daugava Riga and FC Daugava Daugavpils finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Daugava Daugavpils.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
FK Daugava Riga
28%
Draws
50%
FC Daugava Daugavpils
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Daugava Daugavpils

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Daugava Daugavpils come out ahead of FK Daugava Riga on wins alone.
  • Model gives FC Daugava Daugavpils a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FK Daugava Riga Clean Sheet 10%
FC Daugava Daugavpils Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Daugava Riga FC Daugava Daugavpils
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 3 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
1:4
Jul 28, 2014 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs FK Daugava Riga
2:2
Jun 1, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
0:1
Apr 13, 2014 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs FK Daugava Riga
1:0
Feb 17, 2014 League Cup
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs FK Daugava Riga
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Daugava Riga Compare

Top Goalscorer Savenas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Daugava Daugavpils Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozlov D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kosmacovs J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Daugava Riga 22 / 100
FC Daugava Daugavpils 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Daugava Riga FC Daugava Daugavpils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Daugava Riga's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

FC Daugava Daugavpils let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: FC Daugava Daugavpils registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Daugava Riga VS FC Daugava Daugavpils
1.13 Goals Scored 1.86
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Daugava Riga

(Home)
04 Apr
Jelgava
:
FK Daugava Riga
08 Nov
Skonto
4 : 1
FK Daugava Riga
01 Nov
FK Daugava Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
26 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
1 : 0
FK Daugava Riga
20 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
2 : 4
FK Liepaja
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FC Daugava Daugavpils

(Away)
08 Nov
Ventspils
4 : 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils
01 Nov
FK Liepaja
3 : 2
FC Daugava Daugavpils
26 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
5 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
17 Oct
FK Metta
0 : 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils
04 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
0 : 1
Skonto
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ventspils36265575:2083
2Skonto362511077:3471
3Jelgava362010657:2770
4FK Liepaja362131272:4566
5FC Daugava Daugavpils36198953:3965
6Spartaks Jurmala361491338:3251
7FK Daugava Riga361341948:6443
8BFC Daugavpils36852330:6529
9FK Metta36372626:6916
10FC Jurmala36262829:1107
Relegation - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)