Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Daugava Riga vs Jelgava

Latvia Latvia

Virslīga 2014 Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs, Jelgava
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Kozlovs V.
40' Event
Bogdaskins B.
75' Event
Latka D.

AI Match Summary

The Virslīga 2014 game between FK Daugava Riga and Jelgava finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jelgava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FK Daugava Riga
15%
Draws
85%
Jelgava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jelgava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jelgava come out ahead of FK Daugava Riga on wins alone.
  • Jelgava are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Virslīga 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
FK Daugava Riga Clean Sheet 17%
Jelgava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Daugava Riga Jelgava
Matches Played 25 38
Wins 10 15
Draws 3 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.48 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2015 Latvian Cup
Jelgava vs FK Daugava Riga
0:0
Nov 1, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs Jelgava
1:3
Aug 17, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs Jelgava
0:3
Jun 21, 2014 Virsliga
Jelgava vs FK Daugava Riga
1:1
May 1, 2014 Virsliga
Jelgava vs FK Daugava Riga
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Daugava Riga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Jelgava Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozlovs V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bogdaskins B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Daugava Riga 28 / 100
Jelgava 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Daugava Riga Jelgava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jelgava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Daugava Riga found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (24 games).

Jelgava has conceded goals in 76% of their last 37 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Jelgava registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jelgava
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Daugava Riga

(Home)
04 Apr
Jelgava
:
FK Daugava Riga
08 Nov
Skonto
4 : 1
FK Daugava Riga
01 Nov
FK Daugava Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
26 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
1 : 0
FK Daugava Riga
20 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
2 : 4
FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 5

Jelgava

(Away)
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
22 Aug
Ogre United
2 : 3
Jelgava
09 Aug
Jelgava
0 : 1
FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ventspils 36 26 5 5 75:20 83
2 Skonto 36 25 1 10 77:34 71
3 Jelgava 36 20 10 6 57:27 70
4 FK Liepaja 36 21 3 12 72:45 66
5 FC Daugava Daugavpils 36 19 8 9 53:39 65
6 Spartaks Jurmala 36 14 9 13 38:32 51
7 FK Daugava Riga 36 13 4 19 48:64 43
8 BFC Daugavpils 36 8 5 23 30:65 29
9 FK Metta 36 3 7 26 26:69 16
10 FC Jurmala 36 2 6 28 29:110 7
Relegation - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)