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FK Dobele vs Spartaks Jurmala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Panasjuks A.
68' Event
Angulo L.
88' Event
Garcia D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Spartaks Jurmala advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
FK Dobele
15%
Draws
58%
Spartaks Jurmala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartaks Jurmala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartaks Jurmala carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Spartaks Jurmala's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Spartaks Jurmala arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Spartaks Jurmala, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
FK Dobele Clean Sheet 21%
Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Dobele Spartaks Jurmala
Matches Played 8 31
Wins 3 10
Draws 0 3
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 1.25 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2013 Latvian Cup
FK Dobele vs Spartaks Jurmala
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Dobele Compare

Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Spartaks Jurmala Compare

Top Goalscorer Panasjuks A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Angulo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Dobele 10 / 100
Spartaks Jurmala 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Dobele Spartaks Jurmala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartaks Jurmala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Dobele scored in 63% of their last 8 games.

Spartaks Jurmala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

FK Dobele has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Spartaks Jurmala
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Dobele

(Home)
02 Jul
FK Dobele
2 : 6
Bebri
05 Jun
FK Limbazi
2 : 3
FK Dobele
13 Jul
Alberts JDFS
8 : 1
FK Dobele
08 Jun
FK Dobele
1 : 0
FK Alberts
08 Jun
FK Dobele
0 : 2
Caramba
Page 1 of 2

Spartaks Jurmala

(Away)
12 Nov
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
06 Nov
FK Auda Riga
0 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
29 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
FK Metta
22 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
16 Oct
Super Nova
1 : 3
Spartaks Jurmala
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
Rinuzi -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
Riga United 0
FK Olaine 4
Dinamo Riga 2
Kuldigas NSS 0
TBD -
Gulbene -
FC Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Marienburg 1
FK Dobele 3
Preilu BJSS 3
FK Smiltene 1
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
FK Carnikava 3
Lerona Rita 6
Grobina 2
Ozolnieki 0
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
Saldus -
DSVK Traktors -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Ilukste -
Alberts JDFS 2
Plavinas 1
TBD -
Vilki/Marupe -
Upesciems 2
Kalupe 0
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
1/16-finals
Jelgava 6
Rinuzi 1
FK Auda Riga 0
Valmiera 2
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
FK Olaine 0
Dinamo Riga 1
Gulbene 4
FC Jurmala 1
Rezekne 0
Jekabpils SC 0
Tukums 2000 1
Spartaks Jurmala 3
FK Dobele 0
Preilu BJSS 2
FK Liepaja 11
Skonto 8
FK Alberts 1
FK Metta 0
RFS 1
BFC Daugavpils 5
Lerona Rita 3
Grobina 0
FK Daugava Riga 8
Ventspils 6
Saldus 0
DSVK Traktors 0
FK Ilukste 8
Alberts JDFS 3
Vilki/Marupe 0
Upesciems 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
1/8-finals
Jelgava 3
Valmiera 1
FK 1625 Liepaja 2
Gulbene 3
FC Jurmala 5
Tukums 2000 0
Spartaks Jurmala 2
FK Liepaja 4
Skonto 5
RFS 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Daugava Riga 3
Ventspils 3
FK Ilukste 0
Alberts JDFS 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
Quarter-finals
Jelgava 2
Gulbene 0
FC Jurmala 1
FK Liepaja 2
Skonto 2
FK Daugava Riga 1
Ventspils 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 2
Semi-finals
Jelgava 1
FK Liepaja 0
Skonto 4
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
Final
Jelgava 1
Skonto 0