Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Izhevsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Maksimchuk A.
90'
Ivanov E.
90'
Ivanov E.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 game between FK Izhevsk and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FK Izhevsk
15%
Draws
46%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod come out ahead of FK Izhevsk on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
FK Izhevsk Clean Sheet 14%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Izhevsk Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.32 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
FK Izhevsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
0:1
Apr 29, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs FK Izhevsk
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Izhevsk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Compare

Top Goalscorer Maksimchuk A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Izhevsk 35 / 100
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Izhevsk Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Izhevsk scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

FK Izhevsk went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Izhevsk VS Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Izhevsk

(Home)
27 Sept
Rubin Kazan 2
2 : 1
FK Izhevsk
20 Sept
FK Izhevsk
2 : 1
Ural 2
13 Sept
Chelyabinsk 2
1 : 2
FK Izhevsk
07 Sept
Orenburg 2
3 : 0
FK Izhevsk
30 Aug
FK Izhevsk
1 : 2
Nosta
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Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

(Away)
25 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
2 : 2
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
20 Sept
KDV Tomsk
2 : 1
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
13 Sept
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
0 : 1
Khimik
06 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
0 : 1
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
30 Aug
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
3 : 2
Akron Togliatti 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khimik 22 18 2 2 57:16 56
2 KDV Tomsk 22 17 2 3 40:20 53
3 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 22 13 4 5 51:33 43
4 Akron Togliatti 2 22 10 2 10 46:34 32
5 Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 22 6 9 7 25:26 27
6 Dynamo Barnaul 22 7 5 10 31:50 26
7 Orenburg 2 22 6 8 8 31:35 26
8 FK Izhevsk 22 5 8 9 30:32 23
9 Ural 2 22 5 7 10 34:44 22
10 Rubin Kazan 2 22 4 8 10 25:35 20
11 Nosta 22 4 6 12 20:48 18
12 Chelyabinsk 2 22 4 5 13 19:36 17
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Championship Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Relegation Group)