Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Nicis V.
26'
26'
Nicis V.
39'
39'
Moseicenko R.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 8-1, with FK Karosta advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Karosta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- FK Karosta carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans FK Karosta's way, sitting at 90%.
- FK Karosta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor FK Karosta, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
FK Karosta Clean Sheet 16%
FK Madona Kvarcs Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Karosta | FK Madona Kvarcs |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 11 |
| Wins | 14 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 3.25 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 5.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.25 | 1.20 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 5.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 16, 2019 Latvian Cup
FK Karosta vs FK Madona Kvarcs
8:1
May 27, 2018 Latvian Cup
FK Karosta vs FK Madona Kvarcs
9:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FK Karosta Compare
Top Goalscorer Nicis V.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kalincenko M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63
FK Madona Kvarcs Compare
Top Goalscorer Svekis K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.67
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FK Karosta 84 / 100
FK Madona Kvarcs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FK Karosta FK Madona Kvarcs
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FK Karosta's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 19 recent games.
FK Madona Kvarcs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 11 matches.
H2H data points to 9.50 goals as a typical output.
FK Madona Kvarcs lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FK Karosta VS FK Madona Kvarcs
3.25 Goals Scored 1.2
1.75 Goals Conceded 5.4
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
FK Karosta
(Home) 27 Nov
Dinamo Riga
2 : 1 FK Karosta
20 Nov
FK Karosta
4 : 2 Dinamo Riga
17 Jul
Albatroz
5 : 1 FK Karosta
04 Jul
Plavinas
0 : 1 FK Karosta
06 Sept
Grobina
3 : 0 FK Karosta
Page 1 of 4
20 Nov
FK Karosta
4 : 2 Dinamo Riga
06 Aug
FK Karosta
4 : 0 Jurmalas
25 Sept
FK Karosta
0 : 5 Jelgava
17 Jul
FK Karosta
4 : 1 LDZ Cargo/DFA
16 Jun
FK Karosta
8 : 1 FK Madona Kvarcs
Page 1 of 2
FK Madona Kvarcs
(Away) 12 Jun
FK Madona Kvarcs
0 : 5 Rezekne
22 May
Lielupe
2 : 3 FK Madona Kvarcs
03 Jul
FK Madona Kvarcs
1 : 3 Latgols / Ludza
16 Jun
FK Karosta
8 : 1 FK Madona Kvarcs
27 May
FK Karosta
9 : 1 FK Madona Kvarcs
Page 1 of 3
22 May
Lielupe
2 : 3 FK Madona Kvarcs
16 Jun
FK Karosta
8 : 1 FK Madona Kvarcs
27 May
FK Karosta
9 : 1 FK Madona Kvarcs
16 Jul
Grobina
0 : 1 FK Madona Kvarcs
18 Jun
Brali
1 : 6 FK Madona Kvarcs
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Valmiera-
FK Smiltene-
TBD-
TBD-
Ghetto / Gvatar-
Nikers-
TBD-
TBD-
Livani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Tukums 2000-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Keiko Jekabpils-
TBD-
DSVK Traktors1
Krimulda3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ventspils-
Super Nova-
TBD-
TBD-
Rezekne-
Kalupe2
AFA Olaine1
TBD-
New Project-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
FK Karosta3
Riga United1
TBD-
FK Madona Kvarcs-
Lubana-
TBD-
TBD-
Tente-
FK Alberts-
TBD-
TBD-
Lielupe-
Aliance1
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze0
Monarhs0
LDZ Cargo/DFA7
Alberts JDFS-
TBD-
TBD-
Dinamo Riga-
Albatroz-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Salaspils FK4
Fk Jurnieks Riga1
Jurmalas1
Jauniba / Upesciems2
Marupe-
TBD-
FK Limbazi2
Caramba8
BFC Daugavpils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Spartaks Jurmala-
FK Metta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
1/32-finals
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Valmiera-
FK Smiltene3
Ghetto / Gvatar0
Nikers1
Livani5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Tukums 20005
FK Auda Riga1
Keiko Jekabpils2
Krimulda3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ventspils-
Super Nova4
Rezekne3
Kalupe0
New Project1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
FK Karosta8
FK Madona Kvarcs1
Lubana2
Tente6
FK Alberts2
Lielupe1
Aliance1
LDZ Cargo/DFA2
Alberts JDFS3
Dinamo Riga1
Albatroz1
Grobina2
Salaspils FK3
Jauniba / Upesciems0
Marupe3
Caramba5
BFC Daugavpils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Spartaks Jurmala-
FK Metta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
1/16-finals
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
Valmiera-
FK Smiltene7
Livani0
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Tukums 20009
Krimulda1
TBD-
Ventspils-
Super Nova2
New Project1
TBD-
Riga FC-
FK Karosta1
Tente0
FK Alberts0
LDZ Cargo/DFA6
Alberts JDFS4
Grobina2
Salaspils FK0
Caramba1
BFC Daugavpils-
TBD-
TBD-
Spartaks Jurmala-
FK Metta-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
1/8-finals
RFS2
Valmiera1
FK Smiltene0
FK Liepaja4
Tukums 20004
Ventspils1
Super Nova0
Riga FC6
FK Karosta4
LDZ Cargo/DFA1
Alberts JDFS0
Caramba1
BFC Daugavpils1
Spartaks Jurmala0
FK Metta0
Jelgava1
Quarter-finals
RFS2
FK Liepaja1
Tukums 20000
Riga FC4
FK Karosta2
Caramba1
BFC Daugavpils1
Jelgava2
Semi-finals
RFS3
Riga FC1
FK Karosta0
Jelgava5
Final
RFS3
Jelgava2
