Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Dobelis N.
66'
66'
Babris M.
83'
83'
Kristaps U.
AI Match Summary
Preilu BJSS in this Latvian Cup 2018 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Karosta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- FK Karosta have won more games recently than Preilu BJSS.
- Model gives FK Karosta a 85% chance of winning this.
- FK Karosta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Preilu BJSS, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 59%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FK Karosta Clean Sheet 20%
Preilu BJSS Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Karosta | Preilu BJSS |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 2.85 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 3.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.90 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 17, 2018 Latvian Cup
FK Karosta vs Preilu BJSS
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FK Karosta Compare
Top Goalscorer Dobelis N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 3
Avg xA / game 1.95
Preilu BJSS Compare
Top Goalscorer Babris M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kristaps U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FK Karosta 85 / 100
Preilu BJSS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FK Karosta Preilu BJSS
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FK Karosta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: FK Karosta scored in 84% of their last 19 outings.
Preilu BJSS has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Preilu BJSS's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
FK Karosta VS Preilu BJSS
3.38 Goals Scored 0.86
1.38 Goals Conceded 4.43
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
FK Karosta
(Home) 27 Nov
Dinamo Riga
2 : 1 FK Karosta
20 Nov
FK Karosta
4 : 2 Dinamo Riga
17 Jul
Albatroz
5 : 1 FK Karosta
04 Jul
Plavinas
0 : 1 FK Karosta
06 Sept
Grobina
3 : 0 FK Karosta
Page 1 of 4
20 Nov
FK Karosta
4 : 2 Dinamo Riga
06 Aug
FK Karosta
4 : 0 Jurmalas
25 Sept
FK Karosta
0 : 5 Jelgava
17 Jul
FK Karosta
4 : 1 LDZ Cargo/DFA
16 Jun
FK Karosta
8 : 1 FK Madona Kvarcs
Page 1 of 2
Preilu BJSS
(Away) 03 Jul
Kadaga/Ostas
2 : 1 Preilu BJSS
13 Oct
FK Auda Riga
3 : 0 Preilu BJSS
07 Oct
Preilu BJSS
1 : 2 Grobina
29 Sept
Super Nova
3 : 2 Preilu BJSS
22 Sept
Preilu BJSS
0 : 3 Tukums 2000
Page 1 of 6
03 Jul
Kadaga/Ostas
2 : 1 Preilu BJSS
13 Oct
FK Auda Riga
3 : 0 Preilu BJSS
29 Sept
Super Nova
3 : 2 Preilu BJSS
15 Sept
FK Smiltene
3 : 2 Preilu BJSS
09 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
15 : 0 Preilu BJSS
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
FK Metta -
TBD -
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Jelgava -
Grobina -
TBD -
SK Cesis 1
Albatroz 4
FK Alberts -
TBD -
TBD -
DSVK Traktors -
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
Lielupe 2
Nikers 5
Monarhs -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga United -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Salacgriva -
Aliance -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghetto / Gvatar -
Super Nova -
TBD -
AFA Olaine 1
SK Babite 5
Balvu SC -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Riga FC -
Ventspils -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Plavinas -
Salaspils FK 9
Valka 0
KF Grobina 0
BetLanes 14
RTU -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Kauguri-PBLC 4
Bauskas / Memele 0
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bebri -
TBD -
Lubana 2
Upesciems 5
FK Karosta 9
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
TBD -
Preilu BJSS -
FK Limbazi -
TBD -
Fk Jurnieks Riga 0
Priekuli 3
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs -
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RFS -
1/32-finals
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Grobina 7
Albatroz 1
FK Alberts 1
DSVK Traktors 2
Alberts JDFS 3
Nikers 1
Monarhs 2
BFC Daugavpils 4
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga United 10
FK Salacgriva 0
Aliance 0
Ghetto / Gvatar 5
Super Nova 2
SK Babite 1
Balvu SC 1
FK Smiltene 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 9
Plavinas 1
Salaspils FK 0
BetLanes 7
RTU 2
Rezekne 0
Kauguri-PBLC 3
Tukums 2000 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bebri 3
Upesciems 0
FK Karosta 1
Preilu BJSS 3
FK Limbazi 6
Priekuli 3
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 3
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
1/16-finals
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Grobina 7
DSVK Traktors 0
Alberts JDFS 0
BFC Daugavpils 5
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Riga United 1
Ghetto / Gvatar 9
Super Nova 2
FK Smiltene 0
TBD -
Riga FC -
Ventspils -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 0
BetLanes 2
RTU 5
Tukums 2000 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Valmiera -
TBD -
Bebri 0
Preilu BJSS 5
FK Limbazi 1
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 0
TBD -
RFS -
1/8-finals
FK Metta 2
Jelgava 1
Grobina 2
BFC Daugavpils 6
Spartaks Jurmala 8
Ghetto / Gvatar 1
Super Nova 0
Riga FC 2
Ventspils 2
BetLanes 1
RTU 0
FK Liepaja 5
Valmiera 3
Preilu BJSS 0
FK Limbazi 0
RFS 15
Quarter-finals
FK Metta 4
BFC Daugavpils 3
Spartaks Jurmala 1
Riga FC 3
Ventspils 1
FK Liepaja 0
Valmiera 0
RFS 3
Semi-finals
FK Metta 1
Riga FC 2
Ventspils 2
RFS 1
Final
Riga FC 1
Ventspils 0
