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FK Karosta vs Talsu NSS / FK Laidze

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Latvian Cup 2017 game between FK Karosta and Talsu NSS / FK Laidze finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Karosta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FK Karosta
6%
Draws
4%
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Karosta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Karosta come out ahead of Talsu NSS / FK Laidze on wins alone.
  • Model gives FK Karosta a 90% chance of winning this.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Latvian Cup 2017 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
FK Karosta Clean Sheet 13%
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Karosta Talsu NSS / FK Laidze
Matches Played 20 9
Wins 14 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 3.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2017 Latvian Cup
FK Karosta vs Talsu NSS / FK Laidze
5:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Karosta 84 / 100
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Karosta Talsu NSS / FK Laidze

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Karosta scored in 84% of their last 19 games.

Talsu NSS / FK Laidze's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 8 matches.

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Talsu NSS / FK Laidze has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Karosta VS Talsu NSS / FK Laidze
3.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Riga FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Plavinas2
FK Sirius0
TBD-
Aliance-
DSVK Traktors2
Salaspils FK1
TBD-
Preilu BJSS-
Jekabpils SC-
TBD-
TBD-
Lielupe-
BFK Salaspils-
TBD-
TBD-
Fk Jurnieks Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
Spartaks Jurmala-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Caramba-
TBD-
TBD-
Nica FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Valmiera-
TBD-
TBD-
Priekuli-
Ogre-
TBD-
TBD-
RTU-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Metta-
Ventspils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
JFC Dobele1
Ludzas NSS0
TBD-
Tukums 2000-
Balvu SC5
FK Limbazi0
FK Alberts1
Monarhs2
BFC Daugavpils-
TBD-
TBD-
Alberts JDFS-
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs10
FK Salacgriva0
TBD-
Rezekne-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
FK Karosta3
SK Cesis0
Bauskas / Memele0
Gulbene3
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
FK Roja / Kolka1
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
SK Babite-
AFA Olaine-
TBD-
New Project0
Upesciems2
Super Nova-
TBD-
Super Nova-
Nikers-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
RFS-
1/32-finals
Riga FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Plavinas2
Aliance1
DSVK Traktors0
Preilu BJSS6
Jekabpils SC8
Lielupe1
BFK Salaspils0
Fk Jurnieks Riga3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
Spartaks Jurmala-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Caramba1
Nica FC0
TBD-
Grobina-
Valmiera8
Priekuli0
Ogre1
RTU6
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Metta-
Ventspils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
JFC Dobele-
Tukums 2000-
Balvu SC0
Monarhs6
BFC Daugavpils-
Alberts JDFS-
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs0
Rezekne3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
FK Karosta5
Gulbene1
FK Auda Riga-
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
SK Babite-
AFA Olaine-
Upesciems-
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS1
Nikers5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
RFS-
1/16-finals
Riga FC-
TBD-
Plavinas0
Preilu BJSS6
Jekabpils SC5
Fk Jurnieks Riga2
TBD-
Jelgava-
Spartaks Jurmala-
TBD-
Caramba4
Grobina5
Valmiera2
RTU1
TBD-
FK Metta-
Ventspils-
TBD-
JFC Dobele0
Monarhs12
BFC Daugavpils2
Rezekne0
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
FK Karosta5
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze3
TBD-
SK Babite-
AFA Olaine7
Nikers0
TBD-
RFS-
1/8-finals
Riga FC5
Preilu BJSS0
Jekabpils SC0
Jelgava8
Spartaks Jurmala2
Grobina0
Valmiera0
FK Metta3
Ventspils9
Monarhs1
BFC Daugavpils0
FK Liepaja1
FK Karosta-
SK Babite-
AFA Olaine0
RFS4
Quarter-finals
Riga FC3
Jelgava2
Spartaks Jurmala1
FK Metta0
Ventspils1
FK Liepaja2
FK Karosta0
RFS7
Semi-finals
Riga FC2
Spartaks Jurmala1
FK Liepaja4
RFS1
Final
Riga FC0
FK Liepaja2