Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Hegelmann Litauen 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Gambo I.
61' Event
Pocius V.
(Penalty)
81' Event
Bruzas M.

AI Match Summary

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Kauno Zalgiris 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
15%
Draws
28%
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Hegelmann Litauen 2 average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of FK Kauno Zalgiris 2's 0.97.
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Hegelmann Litauen 2
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 1 2
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 0.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
3:0
Apr 24, 2026 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2:0
Aug 16, 2025 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
1:5
Apr 18, 2025 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
2:0
Sep 16, 2024 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gambo I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruzas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Hegelmann Litauen 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 85 / 100
Hegelmann Litauen 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Hegelmann Litauen 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hegelmann Litauen 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hegelmann Litauen 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 VS Hegelmann Litauen 2
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 2
Garliava
12 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Ekranas
04 Sept
BE1 NFA
1 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
29 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 0
Hegelmann Litauen 2
14 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Jonava
Page 1 of 6

Hegelmann Litauen 2

(Away)
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
Dainava Alytus
11 Sept
Transinvest 2
4 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
04 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
5 : 1
Siauliai 2
29 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 0
Hegelmann Litauen 2
21 Aug
Hegelmann Litauen 2
3 : 2
Ekranas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 24 21 1 2 63:13 64
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 24 11 7 6 34:23 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
11 Garliava 24 7 4 13 29:27 25
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 24 7 1 16 23:38 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)