Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Jonava

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kabosius A.
63' Event
Gambo I.
67' Event
Uzkurnys A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 and Jonava finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Kauno Zalgiris 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
15%
Draws
42%
Jonava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Jonava carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 17%
Jonava Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Jonava
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 1 7
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Jonava
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 I Lyga
Jonava vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 I Lyga
Jonava vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Jonava
1:0
Jul 29, 2023 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Jonava
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gambo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Jonava Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabosius A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 31 / 100
Jonava 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Jonava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jonava conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Jonava's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 VS Jonava
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

(Home)
14 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Jonava
10 Aug
Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
01 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 1
FK Atmosfera
24 Jul
Tauras Taurage
4 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Jul
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0 : 2
FK Babrungas
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Jonava

(Away)
14 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Jonava
07 Aug
Jonava
1 : 2
Ekranas
31 Jul
BE1 NFA
0 : 2
Jonava
25 Jul
Jonava
1 : 0
Garliava
18 Jul
FK Minija
2 : 1
Jonava
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Babrungas 21 16 4 1 37:7 52
2 FK Minija 20 17 1 2 53:11 52
3 Tauras Taurage 21 12 3 6 37:23 39
4 Neptunas 20 12 2 6 27:24 38
5 BE1 NFA 20 12 2 6 33:24 38
6 Dainava Alytus 19 10 5 4 32:18 35
7 BFA Vilnius 20 10 2 8 29:29 32
8 Zalgiris 2 20 9 4 7 31:28 31
9 FK Atmosfera 19 7 4 8 29:24 25
10 Jonava 21 6 5 10 24:27 23
11 Garliava 20 6 4 10 23:22 22
12 Hegelmann Litauen 2 21 6 1 14 24:47 19
13 Transinvest 2 20 5 3 12 20:46 18
14 Siauliai 2 21 3 5 13 19:45 14
15 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 20 4 1 15 15:34 13
16 Ekranas 21 3 2 16 21:45 11
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)