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FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Jonava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kabosius A.
63' Event
Gambo I.
67' Event
Uzkurnys A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 and Jonava finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Kauno Zalgiris 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
20%
Draws
29%
Jonava
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Jonava carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Jonava Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Jonava
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 2 6
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Jonava
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 I Lyga
Jonava vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 I Lyga
Jonava vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Jonava
1:0
Jul 29, 2023 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Jonava
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gambo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Jonava Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabosius A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 36 / 100
Jonava 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Jonava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jonava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jonava conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Jonava has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 VS Jonava
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

(Home)
16 Oct
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0 : 2
Transinvest 2
09 Oct
Siauliai 2
3 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
02 Oct
FK Minija
5 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 2
Garliava
12 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Ekranas
Page 1 of 6

Jonava

(Away)
16 Oct
Jonava
3 : 0
BFA Vilnius
10 Oct
FK Babrungas
2 : 0
Jonava
18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3
Tauras Taurage
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0
Jonava
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Babrungas 27 21 4 2 48:13 67
2 FK Minija 26 22 1 3 70:16 67
3 BE1 NFA 26 17 3 6 48:26 54
4 Zalgiris 2 27 14 4 9 42:36 46
5 Neptunas 27 14 2 11 33:33 44
6 Dainava Alytus 27 12 8 7 40:28 44
7 Tauras Taurage 26 13 5 8 47:35 44
8 BFA Vilnius 27 13 4 10 40:40 43
9 FK Atmosfera 26 9 7 10 40:35 34
10 Garliava 27 9 5 13 34:30 32
11 Jonava 27 8 6 13 31:35 30
12 Transinvest 2 27 7 4 16 32:59 25
13 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 27 7 2 18 26:48 23
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 27 7 2 18 31:63 23
15 Siauliai 2 27 4 6 17 32:62 18
16 Ekranas 27 4 3 20 27:62 15
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)