Sport Picks

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Neptunas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania

I Lyga

Neptunas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 host Neptunas in the I Lyga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 at 1 goals for, 1.83 against; Neptunas at 1.14 for, 1.24 against. Head-to-head, FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 have won 0 to Neptunas's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 18, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.44) point toward Neptunas. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

15%

Draws

26%

Neptunas

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Neptunas come out ahead of FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 on wins alone.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Neptunas have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 16%

Neptunas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Kauno Zalgiris 2	Neptunas
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	7	14
Draws	2	2
Losses	20	13
Goals Scored	1	1.14
Goals Conceded	1.83	1.24
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 I Lyga

Neptunas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

2:1

Oct 24, 2025 I Lyga

Neptunas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

3:1

Jun 17, 2025 I Lyga

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Neptunas

1:3

Aug 18, 2024 I Lyga

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Neptunas

2:2

Mar 22, 2024 I Lyga

Neptunas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 31 / 100

Neptunas 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Neptunas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Neptunas has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Neptunas registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 VS Neptunas

1.75 Goals Scored 1

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History