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Stadium Background

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Darius and Girėnas Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Renan Oliveira
Assist: Konatar M.
23' Event
Benchaib A.
Assist: Burba M.
28'
Balsys D.

AI Match Summary

FK Kauno Zalgiris in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Kauno Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
6%
Draws
4%
FK Panevezys
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris have won more games recently than FK Panevezys.
  • Win probability leans FK Kauno Zalgiris's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 20%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris FK Panevezys
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
3:0
May 10, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:1
Mar 10, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
4:0
Feb 16, 2026 Super Cup
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Renan Oliveira
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benchaib A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FK Panevezys Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 85 / 100
FK Panevezys 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris FK Panevezys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Kauno Zalgiris scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: FK Kauno Zalgiris stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

FK Panevezys has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris VS FK Panevezys
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Kauno Zalgiris1987434:1531
2Suduva1979321:1630
3Dziugas Telsiai1986528:2230
4Transinvest1885527:2229
5Zalgiris1984727:2128
6Banga1876519:1327
7FC Hegelmann19310620:2919
8FK Panevezys20541118:3719
9FA Siauliai19271018:3713
10Riteriai00000:00