Sport Picks
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai
Lithuania
TOPLYGA Darius and Girėnas Stadium, Kaunas 
Match Events
12'
12'
Pedro Bahia
13'
13'
Sirgedas G.
Assist: Leo Ribeiro
38'
38'
Cisse I.
Assist: Krekovic L.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The TOPLYGA game between FK Kauno Zalgiris and Dziugas Telsiai finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Kauno Zalgiris.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
78%
15%
7%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and FK Kauno Zalgiris come out ahead of Dziugas Telsiai on wins alone.
- Win probability leans FK Kauno Zalgiris's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 20%
Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Kauno Zalgiris | Dziugas Telsiai |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.59 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai
5:0
Jul 3, 2026 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:0
May 5, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai
2:2
Mar 7, 2026 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare
Top Goalscorer Sirgedas G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Burba M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.8
Dziugas Telsiai Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FK Kauno Zalgiris 85 / 100
Dziugas Telsiai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FK Kauno Zalgiris Dziugas Telsiai
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FK Kauno Zalgiris scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: FK Kauno Zalgiris remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Dziugas Telsiai's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
FK Kauno Zalgiris VS Dziugas Telsiai
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.43
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
FK Kauno Zalgiris
(Home) 20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2 FK Kauno Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2 FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1 FK Kauno Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1 Suduva
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0 Dziugas Telsiai
Page 1 of 7
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1 Suduva
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0 Dziugas Telsiai
27 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris
1 : 0 Besiktas
16 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris
1 : 1 Transinvest
11 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris
1 : 2 Din. Zagreb
Page 1 of 3
Dziugas Telsiai
(Away) 19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0 Dziugas Telsiai
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0 Dziugas Telsiai
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2 FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0 Dziugas Telsiai
17 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 2 Suduva
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0 Dziugas Telsiai
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0 Dziugas Telsiai
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0 Dziugas Telsiai
09 Aug
FA Siauliai
3 : 4 Dziugas Telsiai
03 Aug
FK Panevezys
1 : 1 Dziugas Telsiai
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 56:20 | 51 |
| 2 | Suduva | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 39:25 | 50 |
| 3 | Transinvest | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43:35 | 45 |
| 4 | Zalgiris | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 41:34 | 44 |
| 5 | Banga | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 32:28 | 41 |
| 6 | Dziugas Telsiai | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 36:40 | 38 |
| 7 | FK Panevezys | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29:43 | 32 |
| 8 | FC Hegelmann | 29 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 31:48 | 26 |
| 9 | FA Siauliai | 29 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 24:58 | 17 |
| 10 | Riteriai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)
