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FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Darius and Girėnas Stadium, Kaunas
FK Kauno Zalgiris Logo

FK Kauno Zalgiris

4 - 0
FT
FA Siauliai Logo

FA Siauliai

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Lekiatas R.
Assist: Fiolic I.
42' Event
Kadric H.
Assist: Iyobosa Edokpolor N.
46'
Sub
Lekiatas R. In: Tolordava A.
Out: Lekiatas R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Kauno Zalgiris in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Kauno Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
15%
Draws
7%
FA Siauliai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • FA Siauliai haven't matched FK Kauno Zalgiris's recent run of results.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on FK Kauno Zalgiris taking it.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FK Kauno Zalgiris have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 20%
FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris FA Siauliai
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.55 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:2
Sep 3, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
FA Siauliai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:1
Jul 18, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai
4:0
May 16, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Lekiatas R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kadric H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FA Siauliai Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 85 / 100
FA Siauliai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris FA Siauliai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FA Siauliai conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

FK Kauno Zalgiris went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris VS FA Siauliai
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kauno Zalgiris

(Home)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
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FA Siauliai

(Away)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
03 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
30 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)