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FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Darius and Girėnas Stadium, Kaunas
FK Kauno Zalgiris Logo

FK Kauno Zalgiris

2 - 0
FT
FC Hegelmann Logo

FC Hegelmann

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sub
Racic L. In: Lekiatas R.
Out: Racic L.
32' Event
Leo Ribeiro
Assist: Burba M.
37' Event
Burba M.
Assist: Leo Ribeiro
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Kauno Zalgiris in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Kauno Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
35%
Draws
16%
FC Hegelmann
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Hegelmann haven't matched FK Kauno Zalgiris's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on FK Kauno Zalgiris taking it.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 68%
FC Hegelmann Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris FC Hegelmann
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 9 13
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.68 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann
2:0
Jun 14, 2026 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann
5:0
Oct 1, 2025 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:1
Aug 27, 2025 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Ribeiro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burba M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Hegelmann Compare

Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 95 / 100
FC Hegelmann 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris FC Hegelmann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Hegelmann has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

FK Kauno Zalgiris's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

FK Kauno Zalgiris went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris VS FC Hegelmann
0.75 Goals Scored 0.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kauno Zalgiris

(Home)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
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FC Hegelmann

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Suduva
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3
FK Panevezys
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2
FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Banga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)