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FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Kruoja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2015
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Match Events

20'
Bucma T.
34'
Sub
Velicka A. In: Krusnauskas R.
Out: Velicka A.
38' Event
Beniusis R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this A Lyga 2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
15%
Draws
0%
Kruoja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris have won more games recently than Kruoja.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on FK Kauno Zalgiris taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 20%
Kruoja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris Kruoja
Matches Played 47 30
Wins 28 1
Draws 12 6
Losses 7 23
Goals Scored 1.83 0.4
Goals Conceded 0.85 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2015 TOPLYGA
Kruoja vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:3
Aug 23, 2015 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Kruoja
1:1
Jun 2, 2015 TOPLYGA
Kruoja vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:2
Apr 2, 2015 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Kruoja
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Dauksa P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Kruoja Compare

Top Goalscorer Beniusis R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 85 / 100
Kruoja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris Kruoja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Kauno Zalgiris scored in 83% of their last 47 outings.

Defensive concern: Kruoja conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Kruoja lost 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kauno Zalgiris

(Home)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
Page 1 of 10

Kruoja

(Away)
28 Nov
FC Stumbras
3 : 0
Kruoja
21 Nov
Kruoja
0 : 3
Atlantas
09 Nov
Zalgiris
3 : 0
Kruoja
30 Oct
Kruoja
0 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris
24 Oct
Siauliai
3 : 0
Kruoja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zalgiris 36 31 1 4 104:25 94
2 Riteriai 36 27 3 6 92:33 84
3 Atlantas 36 21 7 8 65:34 70
4 Suduva 36 21 4 11 76:34 67
5 FK Kauno Zalgiris 36 13 6 17 47:74 45
6 Utenis 36 11 9 16 41:50 42
7 FC Stumbras 36 11 8 17 51:74 41
8 Granitas Klaipeda 36 6 9 21 37:83 27
9 Siauliai 36 5 5 26 37:94 20
10 Kruoja 36 4 8 24 23:72 20
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