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FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Siauliai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2015
FK Kauno Zalgiris Logo

FK Kauno Zalgiris

3 - 2
FT
Siauliai Logo

Siauliai

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Rekish D.
33'
Miskinis M.
34' Event
Godin A.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The A Lyga 2015 game between FK Kauno Zalgiris and Siauliai finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Kauno Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
15%
Draws
28%
Siauliai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Kauno Zalgiris come out ahead of Siauliai on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on FK Kauno Zalgiris taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FK Kauno Zalgiris have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 20%
Siauliai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris Siauliai
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 26 5
Draws 11 4
Losses 7 21
Goals Scored 1.82 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2015 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Siauliai
3:2
Jul 22, 2015 TOPLYGA
Siauliai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:2
May 1, 2015 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Siauliai
2:1
Mar 7, 2015 TOPLYGA
Siauliai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:2
Oct 1, 2014 Lithuanian Cup
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Siauliai
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Rekish D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sendzikas L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Siauliai Compare

Top Goalscorer Mika A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 85 / 100
Siauliai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris Siauliai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Kauno Zalgiris scored in 82% of their last 44 games.

Siauliai has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

FK Kauno Zalgiris has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kauno Zalgiris

(Home)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
Page 1 of 9

Siauliai

(Away)
28 Nov
Siauliai
3 : 0
Granitas Klaipeda
22 Nov
Utenis
3 : 2
Siauliai
08 Nov
Riteriai
4 : 0
Siauliai
31 Oct
Suduva
5 : 0
Siauliai
24 Oct
Siauliai
3 : 0
Kruoja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zalgiris 36 31 1 4 104:25 94
2 Riteriai 36 27 3 6 92:33 84
3 Atlantas 36 21 7 8 65:34 70
4 Suduva 36 21 4 11 76:34 67
5 FK Kauno Zalgiris 36 13 6 17 47:74 45
6 Utenis 36 11 9 16 41:50 42
7 FC Stumbras 36 11 8 17 51:74 41
8 Granitas Klaipeda 36 6 9 21 37:83 27
9 Siauliai 36 5 5 26 37:94 20
10 Kruoja 36 4 8 24 23:72 20
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