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FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Zalgiris

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Darius and Girėnas Stadium, Kaunas
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Kauno Zalgiris host Zalgiris in the TOPLYGA. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: FK Kauno Zalgiris at 1.66 goals for, 0.88 against; Zalgiris at 1.56 for, 1.41 against. Head-to-head, FK Kauno Zalgiris have won 2 to Zalgiris's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 16, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.00) point toward FK Kauno Zalgiris. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
15%
Draws
31%
Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: FK Kauno Zalgiris at 1.66 per game, Zalgiris at 1.56.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on FK Kauno Zalgiris taking it.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 20%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris Zalgiris
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 15 15
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.66 1.56
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
3:2
May 31, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Zalgiris
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:3
Oct 22, 2025 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Zalgiris
1:2
Aug 4, 2025 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 85 / 100
Zalgiris 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Kauno Zalgiris scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Zalgiris has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FK Kauno Zalgiris remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris VS Zalgiris
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kauno Zalgiris

(Home)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
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Zalgiris

(Away)
19 Sept
Transinvest
3 : 0
Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
30 Aug
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
Zalgiris
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)