Sport Picks

Lithuania

A Lyga 2011

Dainava Alytus

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Klaipeda play Dainava Alytus in the A Lyga 2011. Dainava Alytus are favorites here. Recently, FK Klaipeda averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. Dainava Alytus averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, FK Klaipeda won 1, Dainava Alytus won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 24, 2011 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for FK Klaipeda and 1.05 for Dainava Alytus. This points to a Dainava Alytus double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

FK Klaipeda

15%

Draws

72%

Dainava Alytus

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dainava Alytus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

FK Klaipeda picked up more points recently compared to Dainava Alytus.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

FK Klaipeda Clean Sheet 22%

Dainava Alytus Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Klaipeda	Dainava Alytus
Matches Played	30	35
Wins	2	16
Draws	3	7
Losses	25	12
Goals Scored	0.63	1.83
Goals Conceded	2.8	1.31

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2011 TOPLYGA

FK Klaipeda vs Dainava Alytus

Possession: 53% - 40% Cards: 2 - 1

0:3

Jul 2, 2011 TOPLYGA

FK Klaipeda vs Dainava Alytus

Possession: 48% - 60% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Apr 21, 2011 TOPLYGA

Dainava Alytus vs FK Klaipeda

Possession: 40% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

5:1

Oct 24, 2009 I Lyga

FK Klaipeda vs Dainava Alytus

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

3:1

Sep 6, 2009 I Lyga

Dainava Alytus vs FK Klaipeda

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Klaipeda 16 / 100

Dainava Alytus 67 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Klaipeda Dainava Alytus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dainava Alytus Win (2)

Secondary Pick Dainava Alytus & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +160%

20.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Klaipeda attacking → ← attacking Dainava Alytus

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Klaipeda scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Dainava Alytus let in goals in 60% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

FK Klaipeda went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Dainava Alytus lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 55

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ekranas	33	24	8	1	68:14	80
2	Zalgiris	33	22	6	5	56:17	72
3	Suduva	33	19	8	6	70:19	65
4	Siauliai	33	16	11	6	45:30	59
5	Kruoja	33	13	10	10	43:34	49
6	Banga	33	13	7	13	51:37	46
7	Tauras Taurage	33	11	12	10	50:38	45
8	Dainava Alytus	33	13	6	14	53:54	45
9	FK Atmosfera	33	9	9	15	36:54	36
10	FBK Kaunas	33	8	8	17	41:53	26
11	Atlantas	33	3	2	28	28:121	11
12	FK Klaipeda	33	2	3	28	19:89	9