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Stadium Background

FK Kolomna vs Cherepovets

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 2025 Stadion Avangard, Kolomna
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Matsak K.
26'
Kulkov K.
35'
Vrazhkin D.

AI Match Summary

Cherepovets in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cherepovets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
FK Kolomna
20%
Draws
60%
Cherepovets
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cherepovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cherepovets lately — more wins on the board than FK Kolomna.
  • 60% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
FK Kolomna Clean Sheet 20%
Cherepovets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kolomna Cherepovets
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 14
Draws 11 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.8 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs FK Kolomna
3:0
Jun 8, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FK Kolomna vs Cherepovets
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kolomna Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolesnichenko Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Cherepovets Compare

Top Goalscorer Andreev M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berezov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kolomna 32 / 100
Cherepovets 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kolomna Cherepovets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cherepovets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherepovets has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Cherepovets's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

FK Kolomna's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cherepovets
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kolomna

(Home)
02 Nov
FK Kolomna
1 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg 2
26 Oct
Kosmos
0 : 0
FK Kolomna
19 Oct
FK Kolomna
3 : 5
Dynamo Vologda
12 Oct
FK Kolomna
0 : 1
FC Irkutsk
05 Oct
FK Kolomna
2 : 3
FC Chertanovo Moscow
Page 1 of 6

Cherepovets

(Away)
27 Sept
Cherepovets
1 : 2
Dynamo Vologda
20 Sept
Baltika 2
1 : 4
Cherepovets
13 Sept
Cherepovets
3 : 2
Yenisey 2
06 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 0
Cherepovets
30 Aug
Cherepovets
1 : 2
Kosmos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 2 28 23 4 1 60:20 73
2 Dynamo Vologda 28 18 5 5 51:28 59
3 FC Irkutsk 28 12 8 8 41:34 44
4 Spartak Moscow 2 28 13 5 10 42:32 44
5 Baltika 2 28 10 10 8 46:37 40
6 Vladimir 28 8 12 8 27:29 36
7 FK Tver 28 9 9 10 36:40 36
8 Saturn Ramenskoye 28 9 8 11 38:45 35
9 Cherepovets 28 9 6 13 35:43 33
10 FC Chertanovo Moscow 28 8 8 12 43:45 32
11 Zvezda St Peterburg 28 7 10 11 41:45 31
12 Luki-Energiya 28 7 9 12 26:31 30
13 Kosmos 28 7 8 13 32:37 29
14 Yenisey 2 28 6 7 15 28:58 25
15 FK Kolomna 28 4 11 13 23:45 23
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 (Fall Season)