Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Kompozit vs Penza

Russia Russia

Russian Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Morev E.
44' Event
Agalakov V.
45' Event
Kubyshkin I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with FK Kompozit advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
FK Kompozit
15%
Draws
48%
Penza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Kompozit carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • FK Kompozit have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Kompozit, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FK Kompozit here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FK Kompozit Clean Sheet 20%
Penza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kompozit Penza
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 2
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.77 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FK Kompozit vs Penza
5:1
Sep 5, 2024 Russian Cup
FK Kompozit vs Penza
3:0
Jun 13, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs FK Kompozit
0:3
Oct 8, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs FK Kompozit
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kompozit Compare

Top Goalscorer Morev E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agalakov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Penza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kompozit 32 / 100
Penza 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kompozit Penza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

FK Kompozit found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: FK Kompozit remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Penza
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kompozit

(Home)
22 Feb
S. Kostroma
1 : 1
FK Kompozit
20 Feb
FK Kompozit
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg 2
16 Feb
FK Kompozit
1 : 0
Spartak Moscow 2
12 Feb
Dordoi Bishkek
2 : 1
FK Kompozit
07 Feb
CSKA Moscow 2
1 : 3
FK Kompozit
Page 1 of 6

Penza

(Away)
05 Sept
Penza
2 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk 2
29 Aug
FK Shumbrat Saransk
1 : 3
Penza
22 Aug
Penza
1 : 0
Spartak Tambov
15 Aug
Kursk
1 : 0
Penza
08 Aug
Penza
0 : 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Ryazan -
TBD -
TBD -
D. Bryansk -
Kaluga -
TBD -
Pskov 747 1
Luki-Energiya 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Baltika -
FC Oryol -
TBD -
TBD -
Kursk -
Spartak Tambov -
TBD -
TBD -
Salyut-Belgorod -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saratov -
Ural -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Chelyabinsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Irtysh Omsk -
Saturn Ramenskoye -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Chertanovo Moscow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tyumen -
Veles Moscow -
TBD -
Amkal Moscow 8
FK Kolomna 1
Kosmos -
TBD -
TBD -
Sakhalin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alania Vladikavkaz -
Amkar -
TBD -
Ilpar FC 0
Uralets Nizhny Tagil 2
Nosta -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Miass -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
M. Lipetsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Penza -
FK Kompozit -
TBD -
SSh Leningradets 1
Dynamo Petersburg 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan -
TBD -
FK Pobeda 1
Angust Nazran 0
Astrakhan -
TBD -
TBD -
Legion Makhachkala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
FC Irkutsk -
TBD -
Anri Vladivostok 1
Dynamo Vladivostok 5
Sibir Novosibirsk -
TBD -
Temp Barnaul 2
Dynamo Barnaul 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
FC Murom -
TBD -
FK ZOV 2
Vladimir 3
Khimik -
TBD -
Broke Boys 2
Kvant Obninsk 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Leningradets -
TBD -
Kristall 4
Zvezda St Peterburg 1
Znamya Truda -
TBD -
Kirovets-Voskhozhdenie 0
FK Tver 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Kuban -
TBD -
Kuban Kholding 2
Maykop 1
Forte Taganrog -
TBD -
TBD -
KDV Tomsk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Ulyanovsk -
TBD -
Orgenergostroy Dimitrovgrad 3
Lada Togliatti 4
Kirov -
TBD -
Sokol Kazan 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Mashuk -
TBD -
Nart Cherkessk 1
Biolog 2
Dynamo Stavropol -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartak Nalchik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
Tekstilshtik -
TBD -
Cherepovets 0
Dynamo Vologda 1
S. Kostroma -
TBD -
2Drots 1
Strogino Moscow 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
1/16-finals
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Ryazan 4
D. Bryansk 0
Kaluga 1
Luki-Energiya 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Baltika -
FC Oryol 2
Kursk 0
Spartak Tambov 2
Salyut-Belgorod 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saratov -
Ural -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Chelyabinsk 2
Irtysh Omsk 1
Saturn Ramenskoye 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tyumen -
Veles Moscow 0
Amkal Moscow 2
Kosmos 2
Sakhalin 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alania Vladikavkaz -
Amkar 2
Uralets Nizhny Tagil 1
Nosta 0
Torpedo Miass 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
M. Lipetsk 1
Penza 2
FK Kompozit 2
Dynamo Petersburg 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 3
FK Pobeda 1
Astrakhan 2
Legion Makhachkala 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
FC Irkutsk 0
Dynamo Vladivostok 1
Sibir Novosibirsk 4
Temp Barnaul 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
FC Murom 3
Vladimir 2
Khimik 1
Broke Boys 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Leningradets 4
Kristall 0
Znamya Truda 2
FK Tver 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Kuban 0
Kuban Kholding 5
Forte Taganrog 5
KDV Tomsk 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Ulyanovsk 2
Lada Togliatti 0
Kirov 3
Sokol Kazan 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Mashuk 2
Biolog 0
Dynamo Stavropol 1
Spartak Nalchik 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
Tekstilshtik 3
Dynamo Vologda 1
S. Kostroma 1
2Drots 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
1/8-finals
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Ryazan 0
Luki-Energiya 3
TBD -
Baltika -
FC Oryol 4
Salyut-Belgorod 2
TBD -
Saratov -
Ural -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Chelyabinsk 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow 0
TBD -
Tyumen -
Amkal Moscow 2
Kosmos 1
TBD -
Alania Vladikavkaz -
Amkar 1
Torpedo Miass 0
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
Penza 0
FK Kompozit 3
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 2
Astrakhan 1
TBD -
Ufa -
Dynamo Vladivostok 2
Sibir Novosibirsk 0
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
FC Murom 2
Khimik 3
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Leningradets 0
Znamya Truda 2
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Kuban Kholding 1
Forte Taganrog 0
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Ulyanovsk 7
Kirov 0
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Mashuk 1
Dynamo Stavropol 0
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
Tekstilshtik 1
S. Kostroma 2
TBD -
Yenisey -
Quarter-finals
Kamaz 1
Torpedo Moscow 2
Luki-Energiya 1
Baltika 2
FC Oryol 2
Saratov 3
Ural 1
SKA Khabarovsk 0
Chelyabinsk 0
Tyumen 2
Amkal Moscow 0
Alania Vladikavkaz 1
Amkar 4
Chernomorets Novorossijsk 3
FK Kompozit 1
Neftekhimik 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 1
Ufa 2
Dynamo Vladivostok 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl 1
Khimik 0
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 3
Znamya Truda 2
Arsenal Tula 1
Kuban Kholding 0
PFC Sochi 5
Ulyanovsk 2
R. Volgograd 1
Mashuk 0
Rodina Moscow 3
S. Kostroma 1
Yenisey 0
Semi-finals
Torpedo Moscow 0
Baltika 4
Saratov 1
Ural 3
Tyumen 1
Alania Vladikavkaz 0
Amkar 1
FK Kompozit 0
Ufa 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl 1
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
Znamya Truda 0
PFC Sochi 2
Ulyanovsk 0
Rodina Moscow 1
S. Kostroma 2
Final
Baltika 0
Ural 1
Tyumen 3
Amkar 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl 1
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 0
PFC Sochi 3
S. Kostroma 2