Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Kozlovice vs Sternberk

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group E 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Group E 2025/2026 game between FK Kozlovice and Sternberk finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Kozlovice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
FK Kozlovice
15%
Draws
40%
Sternberk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kozlovice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Kozlovice come out ahead of Sternberk on wins alone.
  • Model gives FK Kozlovice a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
FK Kozlovice Clean Sheet 15%
Sternberk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kozlovice Sternberk
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.24 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 4. liga - Group E
FK Kozlovice vs Sternberk
1:0
Jun 3, 2026 4. liga - Group E
FK Kozlovice vs Sternberk
3:1
Oct 11, 2025 4. liga - Group E
Sternberk vs FK Kozlovice
1:1
Apr 30, 2025 4. liga - Group E
Sternberk vs FK Kozlovice
3:2
Aug 11, 2024 4. liga - Group E
FK Kozlovice vs Sternberk
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kozlovice 41 / 100
Sternberk 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kozlovice Sternberk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Kozlovice found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Sternberk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: FK Kozlovice remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Kozlovice VS Sternberk
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kozlovice

(Home)
26 Sept
Holesov
1 : 1
FK Kozlovice
20 Sept
FK Kozlovice
5 : 0
Brumov
16 Sept
FK Kozlovice
0 : 6
FK Pardubice
11 Sept
Batov
2 : 3
FK Kozlovice
06 Sept
FK Kozlovice
4 : 1
Prostejov B
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Sternberk

(Away)
26 Sept
Sternberk
1 : 0
Bzenec-Vracov
20 Sept
Vsechovice
6 : 1
Sternberk
12 Sept
Sternberk
1 : 3
Slavicin
05 Sept
Nove Sady
0 : 6
Sternberk
29 Aug
Sternberk
4 : 1
Lanzhot
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