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FK Kvik vs Surnadal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Kaplanski O.
19' Event
Kaplanski O.
32' Event
Kaplanski O.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 2025 game between FK Kvik and Surnadal finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Kvik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FK Kvik
20%
Draws
50%
Surnadal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Surnadal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Kvik come out ahead of Surnadal on wins alone.
  • Model gives Surnadal a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
FK Kvik Clean Sheet 17%
Surnadal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kvik Surnadal
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 8 3
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.68 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.32 3.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
FK Kvik vs Surnadal
5:1
Jul 5, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Surnadal vs FK Kvik
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kvik Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaplanski O.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kirkhus I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Surnadal Compare

Top Goalscorer Saeter S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kvik 10 / 100
Surnadal 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kvik Surnadal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Surnadal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Surnadal conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

FK Kvik scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: FK Kvik stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Kvik VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kvik

(Home)
12 Sept
Strindheim
1 : 0
FK Kvik
07 Sept
FK Kvik
0 : 7
Ranheim 2
30 Aug
Volda
6 : 0
FK Kvik
17 Aug
FK Kvik
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
09 Aug
Molde 2
6 : 3
FK Kvik
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Surnadal

(Away)
26 Oct
Surnadal
1 : 3
Spjelkavik
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
Surnadal
2 : 3
Kristiansund 2
04 Oct
Melhus
1 : 1
Surnadal
27 Sept
Surnadal
4 : 1
Nardo
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