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FK Kyran vs Aksu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kakimov A.
15' Event
Tuleev A.
16'
Erzhigit Z.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-5, with Aksu advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FK Kyran
15%
Draws
85%
Aksu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aksu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Aksu's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what FK Kyran have produced (0.6).
  • Model gives FK Kyran a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Aksu, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aksu have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FK Kyran Clean Sheet 20%
Aksu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kyran Aksu
Matches Played 10 4
Wins 1 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 0.6 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.9 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2024 Kazakhstan Cup
FK Kyran vs Aksu
2:5
Oct 1, 2021 First League
FK Kyran vs Aksu
1:3
Jun 19, 2021 First League
Aksu vs FK Kyran
1:1
Mar 27, 2019 Kazakhstan Cup
Aksu vs FK Kyran
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kyran Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuleev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Aksu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kakimov A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Turlybek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kyran 42 / 100
Aksu 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kyran Aksu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aksu conceded in 100% of 4 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Aksu registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: FK Kyran scored in 40% of their last 10 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Kyran VS Aksu
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kyran

(Home)
30 May
FK Kyran
0 : 3
Kaspij Aktau
23 May
FK Kyran
0 : 1
Okzhetpes
17 May
Kairat Almaty 2
10 : 1
FK Kyran
10 May
FK Kyran
0 : 1
Ulytau
02 May
SD Family
3 : 0
FK Kyran
Page 1 of 2

Aksu

(Away)
19 Mar
FK Kyran
2 : 5
Aksu
13 Mar
Aksu
0 : 3
Zhetisay
26 Feb
Aksu
1 : 3
Tyumen
29 Oct
Aksu
0 : 3
Tobol

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ertis Pavlodar 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 AKAS 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Okzhetpes 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Khan Tengri 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademiya Ontustik 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Altai 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
3 Akzhayik Uralsk 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taraz 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 FC Ekibastuz 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
3 Turkistan 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jas Qyran 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Arys 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
3 Kaspij Aktau 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Family 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Ulytau 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
3 Maqtaaral 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zhetisay 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
2 Aksu 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 FK Kyran 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)