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FK Kyran vs Arys

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2024
Thu, Sep 12, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Kyran host Arys in the First Division 2024. This has Arys written all over it on paper. Arys have shipped 2.06 goals a game lately, while FK Kyran have conceded 2.67 and scored 0.44. Past meetings favor Arys slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.67 vs 1.18, favoring Arys. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FK Kyran
15%
Draws
85%
Arys
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Kyran haven't matched Arys's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Arys's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FK Kyran Clean Sheet 20%
Arys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kyran Arys
Matches Played 9 33
Wins 1 8
Draws 0 5
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 0.44 1.18
Goals Conceded 2.67 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2024 First League
FK Kyran vs Arys
0:0
Jun 14, 2024 First League
Arys vs FK Kyran
0:0
Jul 28, 2023 First League
FK Kyran vs Arys
0:1
Apr 21, 2023 First League
Arys vs FK Kyran
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kyran 28 / 100
Arys 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kyran Arys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arys let in goals in 94% of their last 33 matches.

FK Kyran's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.75 goals as a typical output.

Arys lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arys
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kyran

(Home)
30 May
FK Kyran
0 : 3
Kaspij Aktau
23 May
FK Kyran
0 : 1
Okzhetpes
17 May
Kairat Almaty 2
10 : 1
FK Kyran
10 May
FK Kyran
0 : 1
Ulytau
02 May
SD Family
3 : 0
FK Kyran
Page 1 of 2

Arys

(Away)
17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1
Aktobe 2
11 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Arys
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
Kairat Almaty 2
1 : 0
Arys
20 Aug
Arys
1 : 1
Taraz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Okzhetpes 28 20 3 5 61:16 63
2 Ulytau 28 19 3 6 69:29 60
3 Kaspij Aktau 28 18 4 6 63:29 58
4 Kairat Almaty 2 28 18 3 7 67:43 57
5 Khan Tengri 28 17 4 7 55:30 55
6 FC Ekibastuz 28 16 3 9 54:36 51
7 Zhetisay 28 14 6 8 50:37 48
8 Taraz 28 12 5 11 37:34 41
9 Altai 28 11 5 12 31:37 38
10 SD Family 28 9 4 15 53:64 31
11 Akzhayik Uralsk 28 7 3 18 24:48 24
12 Kaisar Kyzylorda 2 28 5 7 16 23:56 22
13 Turkistan 28 4 7 17 26:70 19
14 Aktobe 2 28 3 3 22 25:73 12
15 Arys 28 5 4 19 28:64 10
16 FK Kyran 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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