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Stadium Background

FK Lida vs Volna Pinsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Yunost Stadium, Lida
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Gribovskiy R.
54' Event
Gribovskiy R.
Assist: Puzach A.
59'
Kutsepalov D.

AI Match Summary

Volna Pinsk in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Volna Pinsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
FK Lida
15%
Draws
17%
Volna Pinsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Lida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Lida lately — more wins on the board than Volna Pinsk.
  • Model gives FK Lida a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Volna Pinsk have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
FK Lida Clean Sheet 16%
Volna Pinsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Lida Volna Pinsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Volna Pinsk vs FK Lida
0:2
Jun 6, 2026 Pershaya Liga
FK Lida vs Volna Pinsk
2:4
Aug 2, 2025 Pershaya Liga
FK Lida vs Volna Pinsk
1:2
Mar 28, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Volna Pinsk vs FK Lida
3:2
Aug 5, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Volna Pinsk vs FK Lida
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Lida Compare

Top Goalscorer Gribovskiy R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Volna Pinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Lesnyak D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grechikha M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Lida 84 / 100
Volna Pinsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Lida Volna Pinsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Lida Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Lida scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Volna Pinsk conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: FK Lida stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Lida VS Volna Pinsk
2 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Lida

(Home)
02 Oct
Volna Pinsk
0 : 2
FK Lida
25 Sept
FK Lida
2 : 1
Smorgon
19 Sept
BumProm Gomel
4 : 0
FK Lida
13 Sept
FK Lida
3 : 2
FC Minsk 2
05 Sept
Osipovichi
1 : 2
FK Lida
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Volna Pinsk

(Away)
02 Oct
Volna Pinsk
0 : 2
FK Lida
26 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
4 : 0
Volna Pinsk
19 Sept
Volna Pinsk
1 : 3
SKA-1938 Minsk
12 Sept
Slutsk
1 : 0
Volna Pinsk
04 Sept
Volna Pinsk
2 : 1
Din. Minsk 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 27 17 6 4 56:28 57
2 Niva Dolbizno 27 17 4 6 67:31 55
3 FK Lida 27 17 3 7 51:43 54
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 27 16 5 6 56:31 53
5 FC Slonim 27 14 5 8 49:32 47
6 Molodechno 26 14 3 9 45:40 45
7 BumProm Gomel 27 12 5 10 52:41 41
8 Soligorsk 27 11 7 9 52:44 40
9 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
10 Ostrovets 27 8 11 8 37:39 35
11 Volna Pinsk 27 10 4 13 40:50 34
12 Smorgon 27 9 6 12 33:36 33
13 FC Minsk 2 27 9 3 15 37:50 30
14 Orsha 27 7 6 14 28:51 27
15 Uni X Labs 26 6 8 12 25:35 26
16 BATE 2 27 5 7 15 36:61 22
17 FC Gomel 2 27 5 6 16 36:55 21
18 Osipovichi 27 5 4 18 29:67 19
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