Sport Picks
FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils
Latvia
Virsliga Daugavas stadions, Liepāja 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Melnis B. In: Sorokins V.
Out: Melnis B.
50'
50'
Talisca
64'
64'
Sub
Martins M. In: Iljins K.
Out: Martins M.
AI Match Summary
The Virsliga game between FK Liepaja and BFC Daugavpils finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
35%
16%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FK Liepaja
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- FK Liepaja carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives FK Liepaja a 49% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 17%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Liepaja | BFC Daugavpils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils
0:0
Jul 4, 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepaja
3:1
May 17, 2026 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils
2:1
Apr 3, 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepaja
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepaja
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FK Liepaja 66 / 100
BFC Daugavpils 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FK Liepaja BFC Daugavpils
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FK Liepaja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FK Liepaja's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
BFC Daugavpils's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: FK Liepaja stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FK Liepaja VS BFC Daugavpils
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
FK Liepaja
(Home) 19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2 FK Liepaja
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0 FK Liepaja
31 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 2 Riga FC
25 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
31 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 2 Riga FC
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1 Grobina
23 Jul
FK Liepaja
0 : 2 Austria Vienna
09 Jul
FK Liepaja
1 : 0 Decic
Page 1 of 3
BFC Daugavpils
(Away) 19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2 RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1 BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1 BFC Daugavpils
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
22 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
26 Jul
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 71:22 | 74 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 86:30 | 73 |
| 3 | FK Auda Riga | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49:30 | 61 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 41:43 | 43 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 35:35 | 39 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 29:40 | 35 |
| 7 | Jelgava | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 32:49 | 32 |
| 8 | Grobina | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 21:52 | 26 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 44:61 | 24 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 30:76 | 18 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)
