Sport Picks
FK Liepaja vs FK Auda Riga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
FK Liepaja host FK Auda Riga in the Virsliga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. FK Auda Riga have shipped 1.12 goals a game lately, while FK Liepaja have conceded 1.42 and scored 1.32. Past meetings favor FK Auda Riga slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 25, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.38) back FK Auda Riga to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and FK Auda Riga come out ahead of FK Liepaja on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors FK Auda Riga here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Liepaja | FK Auda Riga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 12 | 20 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FK Liepaja found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).
FK Auda Riga has conceded goals in 61% of their last 33 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Recent resilience: FK Liepaja stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FK Liepaja
(Home)FK Auda Riga
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 71:22 | 74 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 86:30 | 73 |
| 3 | FK Auda Riga | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49:30 | 61 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 41:43 | 43 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 35:35 | 39 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 29:40 | 35 |
| 7 | Jelgava | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 32:49 | 32 |
| 8 | Grobina | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 21:52 | 26 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 44:61 | 24 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 30:76 | 18 |