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FK Liepaja vs Ventspils - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Optibet Virsliga 2021 Daugavas stadions, Liepāja
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Dodo
44' Event
Tidenbergs E.
56' Event
Tkachuk Y.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

FK Liepaja in this Optibet Virsliga 2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Liepaja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
FK Liepaja
35%
Draws
30%
Ventspils
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • FK Liepaja have won more games recently than Ventspils.
  • 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Optibet Virsliga 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 19%
Ventspils Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Liepaja Ventspils
Matches Played 31 12
Wins 14 2
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.35 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2021 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs Ventspils
0:0
Jul 25, 2021 Virsliga
Ventspils vs FK Liepaja
0:0
May 23, 2021 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs Ventspils
3:1
Apr 18, 2021 Virsliga
Ventspils vs FK Liepaja
0:1
Nov 8, 2020 Latvian Cup
FK Liepaja vs Ventspils
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Liepaja Compare

Top Goalscorer Dodo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tidenbergs E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Ventspils Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Liepaja 36 / 100
Ventspils 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Liepaja Ventspils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ventspils Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ventspils conceded in 83% of 12 recent games.

FK Liepaja's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

FK Liepaja has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FK Liepaja VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Liepaja

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2
FK Liepaja
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
31 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 2
Riga FC
25 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 7

Ventspils

(Away)
29 Sept
Noah Jurmala
0 : 3
Ventspils
17 Jun
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 2
Ventspils
29 May
Ventspils
0 : 0
Spartaks Jurmala
23 May
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Ventspils
17 May
Ventspils
2 : 2
Noah Jurmala
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 28 20 6 2 65:22 66
2 Valmiera 28 19 5 4 54:19 62
3 FK Liepaja 28 16 3 9 47:26 51
4 Riga FC 28 14 8 6 54:26 50
5 Spartaks Jurmala 28 11 2 15 40:41 35
6 BFC Daugavpils 28 9 5 14 37:53 32
7 FK Metta 28 5 5 18 33:55 20
8 Noah Jurmala 28 1 0 27 8:96 3
9 Ventspils 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2022 (Main)