Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Metta vs FK Daugava Riga

Latvia Latvia

Virslīga 2014
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Kucys A.
65' Event
Savenas M.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Pukitis R.

AI Match Summary

FK Daugava Riga in this Virslīga 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Daugava Riga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FK Metta
15%
Draws
0%
FK Daugava Riga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Metta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Metta lately — more wins on the board than FK Daugava Riga.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on FK Metta taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FK Daugava Riga have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FK Metta Clean Sheet 20%
FK Daugava Riga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Metta FK Daugava Riga
Matches Played 32 24
Wins 23 9
Draws 3 3
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 3.72 1.42
Goals Conceded 1 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2015 League Cup
FK Metta vs FK Daugava Riga
0:0
Oct 3, 2014 Virsliga
FK Metta vs FK Daugava Riga
1:2
Aug 1, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs FK Metta
2:0
Jun 11, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs FK Metta
1:0
May 10, 2014 Virsliga
FK Metta vs FK Daugava Riga
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Metta Compare

Top Goalscorer Pukitis R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.21

FK Daugava Riga Compare

Top Goalscorer Kucys A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Metta 85 / 100
FK Daugava Riga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Metta FK Daugava Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Metta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Metta's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Solid form: FK Metta remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

FK Daugava Riga's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: FK Daugava Riga conceded in 78% of 23 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FK Metta VS -
3.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Metta

(Home)
19 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 3
FK Metta
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
Page 1 of 7

FK Daugava Riga

(Away)
04 Apr
Jelgava
:
FK Daugava Riga
08 Nov
Skonto
4 : 1
FK Daugava Riga
01 Nov
FK Daugava Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
26 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
1 : 0
FK Daugava Riga
20 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
2 : 4
FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ventspils 36 26 5 5 75:20 83
2 Skonto 36 25 1 10 77:34 71
3 Jelgava 36 20 10 6 57:27 70
4 FK Liepaja 36 21 3 12 72:45 66
5 FC Daugava Daugavpils 36 19 8 9 53:39 65
6 Spartaks Jurmala 36 14 9 13 38:32 51
7 FK Daugava Riga 36 13 4 19 48:64 43
8 BFC Daugavpils 36 8 5 23 30:65 29
9 FK Metta 36 3 7 26 26:69 16
10 FC Jurmala 36 2 6 28 29:110 7
Relegation - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)