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Stadium Background

FK Metta vs Kekava-Auda

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup Rīgas Hanzas vidusskolas stadions, Riga
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Match Events

35' Event
Amoah P.
42' Event
Cinajevs D.
45' Event
Cesnieks K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-0. The second leg ended 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
FK Metta
15%
Draws
32%
Kekava-Auda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Metta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Metta come out ahead of Kekava-Auda on wins alone.
  • Model gives FK Metta a 53% chance of winning this.
  • FK Metta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Metta, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
FK Metta Clean Sheet 20%
Kekava-Auda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Metta Kekava-Auda
Matches Played 29 10
Wins 21 5
Draws 3 0
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 3.66 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Latvian Cup
FK Metta vs Kekava-Auda
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Metta Compare

Top Goalscorer Amoah P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cinajevs D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Kekava-Auda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Metta 85 / 100
Kekava-Auda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Metta Kekava-Auda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Metta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Metta scored in 100% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Kekava-Auda conceded in 80% of 10 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Solid form: FK Metta remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Metta VS Kekava-Auda
4.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Metta

(Home)
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
16 Aug
Riga FC
4 : 1
FK Metta
08 Aug
FK Metta
12 : 1
RFS 2
01 Aug
Riga FC 2
2 : 2
FK Metta
27 Jul
FK Metta
9 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
Page 1 of 6

Kekava-Auda

(Away)
20 Jun
FK Metta
5 : 0
Kekava-Auda
30 May
Kekava-Auda
2 : 1
Rezekne
31 May
Kekava-Auda
0 : 3
Marupe
18 May
Iecava
1 : 2
Kekava-Auda
22 Jun
Kekava-Auda
3 : 4
Alberts JDFS
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
RFK/RFS 0
Riga Mariners 11
Iecava 0
Alberts JDFS 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
LSPA 1
FK Smiltene 5
Valmiera 2
Skanste 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
JFC Viola 1
Marupe 2
Valka 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Upesciema Warriors 0
JFK Ventspils 3
DSVK Traktors 3
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Lielupe 0
FK Metta 6
Kekava-Auda 2
Rezekne 1
Saldus NSS 0
Salaspils FK 4
Speks 6
FK Union / JFK Daugava 0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners 1
Alberts JDFS 0
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 1
Valmiera 4
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Marupe 4
Aliance 2
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
JFK Ventspils 1
Leevon PPK 3
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Metta 5
Kekava-Auda 0
Salaspils FK 1
Speks 3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners 3
BFC Daugavpils 4
Valmiera 2
Ogre United 4
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Liepaja 0
Marupe 0
Grobina 1
Tukums 2000 1
Super Nova 2
RFS 2
Jelgava 0
Leevon PPK 2
Riga FC 3
FK Metta 3
Speks 1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils 3
Ogre United 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Grobina 2
Super Nova 0
RFS 1
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 1
Semi-finals
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Auda Riga -
RFS -
Riga FC -
Final
TBD -
TBD -