Sport Picks

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FK Metta vs Noah Jurmala

Latvia Latvia

Optibet Virsliga 2021
Sat, Nov 6, 2021
3 - 0
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Metta host Noah Jurmala in the Optibet Virsliga 2021. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Noah Jurmala have shipped 3.29 goals a game lately, while FK Metta have conceded 0.82 and scored 3.94. Past meetings favor FK Metta slightly — 4-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 6, 2021, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.42 xG vs 1.06) point toward FK Metta. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FK Metta
15%
Draws
0%
Noah Jurmala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Metta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Metta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FK Metta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and FK Metta have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
FK Metta Clean Sheet 20%
Noah Jurmala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Metta Noah Jurmala
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 27 1
Draws 3 1
Losses 4 26
Goals Scored 3.94 0.29
Goals Conceded 0.82 3.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2021 Virsliga
FK Metta vs Noah Jurmala
3:0
Aug 28, 2021 Virsliga
Noah Jurmala vs FK Metta
0:3
Jul 13, 2021 Virsliga
FK Metta vs Noah Jurmala
7:0
May 24, 2021 Virsliga
Noah Jurmala vs FK Metta
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Metta 85 / 100
Noah Jurmala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Metta Noah Jurmala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Metta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Metta scored in 100% of their last 34 outings.

Noah Jurmala has conceded goals in 100% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

FK Metta has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Metta VS -
3.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Metta

(Home)
19 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 3
FK Metta
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
Page 1 of 7

Noah Jurmala

(Away)
06 Nov
FK Metta
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
31 Oct
Noah Jurmala
0 : 3
Spartaks Jurmala
27 Oct
FK Liepaja
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
23 Oct
FK Liepaja
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
17 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 28 20 6 2 65:22 66
2 Valmiera 28 19 5 4 54:19 62
3 FK Liepaja 28 16 3 9 47:26 51
4 Riga FC 28 14 8 6 54:26 50
5 Spartaks Jurmala 28 11 2 15 40:41 35
6 BFC Daugavpils 28 9 5 14 37:53 32
7 FK Metta 28 5 5 18 33:55 20
8 Noah Jurmala 28 1 0 27 8:96 3
9 Ventspils 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2022 (Main)