Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Metta vs Valmiera

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Manisa L.
59' Event
Kayramani F.
78' Event
Klavinskis R.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between FK Metta and Valmiera finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valmiera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
FK Metta
15%
Draws
51%
Valmiera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • FK Metta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FK Metta are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Valmiera have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
FK Metta Clean Sheet 10%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Metta Valmiera
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 21 20
Draws 3 2
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 3.66 2.86
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 1. Liga
FK Metta vs Valmiera
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 Virsliga
Valmiera vs FK Metta
4:0
Jun 20, 2024 Virsliga
Valmiera vs FK Metta
3:0
May 1, 2024 Virsliga
FK Metta vs Valmiera
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 Virsliga
FK Metta vs Valmiera
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Metta Compare

Top Goalscorer Klavinskis R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Valmiera Compare

Top Goalscorer Manisa L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kayramani F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Metta 74 / 100
Valmiera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Metta Valmiera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Metta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Metta scored in 100% of their last 29 outings.

Valmiera let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: FK Metta remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Metta VS Valmiera
4.63 Goals Scored 3
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Metta

(Home)
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
16 Aug
Riga FC
4 : 1
FK Metta
08 Aug
FK Metta
12 : 1
RFS 2
01 Aug
Riga FC 2
2 : 2
FK Metta
27 Jul
FK Metta
9 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
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Valmiera

(Away)
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
08 Aug
FK Smiltene
1 : 4
Valmiera
01 Aug
Valmiera
2 : 1
RFS 2
27 Jul
Valmiera
3 : 0
Riga FC 2
18 Jul
Skanste
0 : 3
Valmiera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 17 14 2 1 48:15 44
2 FK Metta 17 14 2 1 71:14 44
3 Leevon PPK 17 12 3 2 31:20 39
4 Riga Mariners 17 11 5 1 37:16 38
5 Alberts JDFS 17 9 4 4 35:24 31
6 Marupe 18 8 1 9 29:30 25
7 Super Nova 2 18 6 6 6 25:26 24
8 Skanste 17 6 2 9 31:33 20
9 Riga FC 2 17 6 2 9 24:33 20
10 Tukums 2000 2 16 3 3 10 21:45 12
11 RFS 2 17 3 3 11 23:48 12
12 JFK Ventspils 16 2 5 9 18:28 11
13 FK Smiltene 17 2 4 11 21:47 10
14 Rezekne 17 1 2 14 13:48 5
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