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FK Metta vs Ventspils

Latvia Latvia

Optibet Virsliga 2021 Rīgas Hanzas vidusskolas stadions, Riga
Sat, Nov 6, 2021
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Metta host Ventspils in the Optibet Virsliga 2021. This has FK Metta written all over it on paper. Ventspils have shipped 1.58 goals a game lately, while FK Metta have conceded 1.03 and scored 3.65. Past meetings favor Ventspils slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 6, 2021, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.42 vs 1.06, favoring FK Metta. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FK Metta
30%
Draws
23%
Ventspils
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Metta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Metta lately — more wins on the board than Ventspils.
  • FK Metta are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
FK Metta Clean Sheet 20%
Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Metta Ventspils
Matches Played 37 12
Wins 26 2
Draws 4 2
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 3.65 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2021 Virsliga
FK Metta vs Ventspils
0:0
Aug 28, 2021 Virsliga
Ventspils vs FK Metta
0:0
Jun 21, 2021 Virsliga
FK Metta vs Ventspils
0:0
May 1, 2021 Virsliga
Ventspils vs FK Metta
5:2
Nov 26, 2020 Virsliga
Ventspils vs FK Metta
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Metta 85 / 100
Ventspils 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Metta Ventspils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Metta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Metta scored in 95% of their last 37 games.

Ventspils has conceded goals in 83% of their last 12 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

FK Metta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Metta VS -
3.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Metta

(Home)
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
16 Aug
Riga FC
4 : 1
FK Metta
Page 1 of 8

Ventspils

(Away)
29 Sept
Noah Jurmala
0 : 3
Ventspils
17 Jun
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 2
Ventspils
29 May
Ventspils
0 : 0
Spartaks Jurmala
23 May
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Ventspils
17 May
Ventspils
2 : 2
Noah Jurmala
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 28 20 6 2 65:22 66
2 Valmiera 28 19 5 4 54:19 62
3 FK Liepaja 28 16 3 9 47:26 51
4 Riga FC 28 14 8 6 54:26 50
5 Spartaks Jurmala 28 11 2 15 40:41 35
6 BFC Daugavpils 28 9 5 14 37:53 32
7 FK Metta 28 5 5 18 33:55 20
8 Noah Jurmala 28 1 0 27 8:96 3
9 Ventspils 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2022 (Main)