Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Minija vs BE1 NFA

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Stanulevicius R.
Own Goal
56' Event
Traore M.
87' Event
Nwegbo D.

AI Match Summary

FK Minija in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Minija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FK Minija
15%
Draws
42%
BE1 NFA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • BE1 NFA haven't matched FK Minija's recent run of results.
  • BE1 NFA are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 20%
BE1 NFA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Minija BE1 NFA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 25 18
Draws 2 2
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.53 1.73
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 I Lyga
FK Minija vs BE1 NFA
3:0
Mar 22, 2026 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs FK Minija
2:3
Nov 9, 2025 I Lyga
FK Minija vs BE1 NFA
0:3
Jun 27, 2025 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs FK Minija
1:1
Oct 4, 2024 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs FK Minija
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Minija Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nwegbo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

BE1 NFA Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Minija 28 / 100
BE1 NFA 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Minija BE1 NFA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BE1 NFA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Minija scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

FK Minija has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

BE1 NFA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Minija VS BE1 NFA
2.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Minija

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1
Neptunas
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
05 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 0
Transinvest 2
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2
Dainava Alytus
28 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 2
FK Minija
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BE1 NFA

(Away)
18 Sept
BE1 NFA
2 : 1
Transinvest 2
14 Sept
Siauliai 2
0 : 2
BE1 NFA
04 Sept
BE1 NFA
1 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
29 Aug
Ekranas
0 : 5
BE1 NFA
21 Aug
BE1 NFA
2 : 0
Garliava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 24 21 1 2 63:13 64
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 24 11 7 6 34:23 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
11 Garliava 24 7 4 13 29:27 25
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 24 7 1 16 23:38 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)