Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Minija vs BFA Vilnius

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kasparavicius J.
21' Event
Aderounmu K.
72' Event
Nwegbo D.

AI Match Summary

FK Minija in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Minija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
FK Minija
20%
Draws
34%
BFA Vilnius
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • BFA Vilnius haven't matched FK Minija's recent run of results.
  • FK Minija are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 68%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Minija BFA Vilnius
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 24 16
Draws 2 4
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.55 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 I Lyga
FK Minija vs BFA Vilnius
3:0
Aug 30, 2025 I Lyga
FK Minija vs BFA Vilnius
1:1
May 3, 2025 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs FK Minija
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs FK Minija
1:1
Mar 23, 2024 I Lyga
FK Minija vs BFA Vilnius
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Minija Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasparavicius J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aderounmu K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

BFA Vilnius Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Minija 95 / 100
BFA Vilnius 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Minija BFA Vilnius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Minija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Minija scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: FK Minija stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

BFA Vilnius has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

FK Minija VS BFA Vilnius
2.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Minija

(Home)
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
05 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 0
Transinvest 2
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2
Dainava Alytus
28 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 2
FK Minija
14 Aug
Ekranas
0 : 5
FK Minija
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BFA Vilnius

(Away)
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2
BFA Vilnius
22 Aug
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0
Neptunas
15 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 0
BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 23 20 1 2 61:12 61
2 FK Babrungas 24 18 4 2 42:11 58
3 BE1 NFA 23 15 2 6 41:24 47
4 Neptunas 24 14 2 8 32:28 44
5 Zalgiris 2 24 13 4 7 38:31 43
6 BFA Vilnius 24 13 3 8 38:34 42
7 Tauras Taurage 24 12 4 8 40:29 40
8 Dainava Alytus 23 10 7 6 33:23 37
9 FK Atmosfera 23 8 5 10 36:32 29
10 Jonava 24 7 6 11 26:30 27
11 Hegelmann Litauen 2 24 7 1 16 30:55 22
12 Garliava 23 6 4 13 25:27 22
13 Transinvest 2 24 6 3 15 28:56 21
14 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 23 6 1 16 20:36 19
15 Ekranas 24 4 2 18 23:52 14
16 Siauliai 2 24 3 5 16 21:54 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)