Sport Picks
FK Minija vs Dainava Alytus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Lithuania
I Lyga 
Match Events
59'
59'
Kasparavicius J.
64'
64'
Faye C.
67'
67'
Lee Min-Woo
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The I Lyga game between FK Minija and Dainava Alytus finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Minija.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
67%
15%
18%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Minija
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ High Confidence
- Dainava Alytus haven't matched FK Minija's recent run of results.
- Model gives FK Minija a 67% chance of winning this.
- Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 20%
Dainava Alytus Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Minija | Dainava Alytus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 26 | 14 |
| Draws | 1 | 7 |
| Losses | 2 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.76 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.66 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs FK Minija
0:3
Sep 1, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
FK Minija vs Dainava Alytus
3:2
May 9, 2026 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Dainava Alytus
3:1
Aug 28, 2022 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs FK Minija
5:1
Apr 16, 2022 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Dainava Alytus
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FK Minija Compare
Top Goalscorer Kasparavicius J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nwegbo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Dainava Alytus Compare
Top Goalscorer Faye C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FK Minija 85 / 100
Dainava Alytus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FK Minija Dainava Alytus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FK Minija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FK Minija found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Solid form: FK Minija remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Dainava Alytus lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FK Minija VS Dainava Alytus
2.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
FK Minija
(Home) 02 Oct
FK Minija
5 : 0 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1 Neptunas
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3 FK Minija
05 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 0 Transinvest 2
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2 Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
FK Minija
5 : 0 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1 Neptunas
05 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 0 Transinvest 2
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2 Dainava Alytus
08 Aug
FK Minija
3 : 0 BE1 NFA
Page 1 of 3
Dainava Alytus
(Away) 02 Oct
Garliava
2 : 1 Dainava Alytus
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1 Dainava Alytus
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3 FK Minija
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0 Dainava Alytus
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2 Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Garliava
2 : 1 Dainava Alytus
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1 Dainava Alytus
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0 Dainava Alytus
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2 Dainava Alytus
12 Jun
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0 : 2 Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 25 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 68:13 | 67 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 43:11 | 61 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 44:24 | 50 |
| 4 | Neptunas | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 33:30 | 44 |
| 5 | BFA Vilnius | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 39:35 | 43 |
| 6 | Zalgiris 2 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 38:32 | 43 |
| 7 | Tauras Taurage | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Dainava Alytus | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35:25 | 40 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:33 | 30 |
| 10 | Garliava | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:28 | 28 |
| 11 | Jonava | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 28:33 | 27 |
| 12 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 23:43 | 22 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 29:58 | 21 |
| 14 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 26:59 | 19 |
| 15 | Siauliai 2 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 27:56 | 17 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 25 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 25:58 | 14 |
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)
