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FK Minija vs FK Atmosfera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Minija host FK Atmosfera in the I Lyga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. FK Minija have averaged 2.59 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against FK Atmosfera's 1.5 scored and 1.39 conceded. Past meetings favor FK Minija slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (2.44 xG vs 0.94) point toward FK Minija. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
FK Minija
20%
Draws
38%
FK Atmosfera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • FK Minija carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on FK Minija taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 20%
FK Atmosfera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Minija FK Atmosfera
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 24 10
Draws 1 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.59 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs FK Minija
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 I Lyga
FK Minija vs FK Atmosfera
0:1
Apr 19, 2025 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs FK Minija
0:1
Nov 2, 2024 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs FK Minija
2:1
Jun 15, 2024 I Lyga
FK Minija vs FK Atmosfera
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Minija 49 / 100
FK Atmosfera 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Minija FK Atmosfera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Minija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Minija scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

FK Atmosfera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: FK Minija stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Minija VS FK Atmosfera
3.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Minija

(Home)
17 Oct
FK Minija
2 : 3
FK Babrungas
11 Oct
FK Minija
0 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris
02 Oct
FK Minija
5 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1
Neptunas
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
Page 1 of 6

FK Atmosfera

(Away)
17 Oct
Zalgiris 2
2 : 3
FK Atmosfera
10 Oct
Garliava
0 : 0
FK Atmosfera
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
BFA Vilnius
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2
FK Atmosfera
05 Sept
FK Atmosfera
3 : 1
Tauras Taurage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Babrungas 27 21 4 2 48:13 67
2 FK Minija 26 22 1 3 70:16 67
3 BE1 NFA 26 17 3 6 48:26 54
4 Zalgiris 2 27 14 4 9 42:36 46
5 Neptunas 27 14 2 11 33:33 44
6 Dainava Alytus 27 12 8 7 40:28 44
7 Tauras Taurage 26 13 5 8 47:35 44
8 BFA Vilnius 27 13 4 10 40:40 43
9 FK Atmosfera 26 9 7 10 40:35 34
10 Garliava 27 9 5 13 34:30 32
11 Jonava 27 8 6 13 31:35 30
12 Transinvest 2 27 7 4 16 32:59 25
13 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 27 7 2 18 26:48 23
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 27 7 2 18 31:63 23
15 Siauliai 2 27 4 6 17 32:62 18
16 Ekranas 27 4 3 20 27:62 15
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)